Greggs plc

LSE:GRG Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£2.1b

Greggs Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Greggs is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 4% and 8.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 4.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 23.3% in 3 years.

Key information

4.0%

Earnings growth rate

4.3%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth20.8%
Revenue growth rate8.5%
Future return on equity23.3%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated24 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Are Updating Their Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Estimates After Its Half-Yearly Results

Aug 01
Analysts Are Updating Their Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Estimates After Its Half-Yearly Results

Greggs plc Just Beat EPS By 9.3%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Apr 12
Greggs plc Just Beat EPS By 9.3%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Recent updates

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Jan 25
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%

Jan 11
Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Greggs plc (LON:GRG)

Jan 06
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Greggs plc (LON:GRG)

When Should You Buy Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Dec 21
When Should You Buy Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Oct 31
Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Investors Shouldn't Overlook Greggs' (LON:GRG) Impressive Returns On Capital

Oct 15
Investors Shouldn't Overlook Greggs' (LON:GRG) Impressive Returns On Capital

At UK£31.72, Is Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Sep 15
At UK£31.72, Is Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.19

Aug 21
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.19

Analysts Are Updating Their Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Estimates After Its Half-Yearly Results

Aug 01
Analysts Are Updating Their Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Estimates After Its Half-Yearly Results

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Greggs (LON:GRG) Presents An Opportunity

Jun 04
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Greggs (LON:GRG) Presents An Opportunity

There's Reason For Concern Over Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) Price

May 22
There's Reason For Concern Over Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) Price

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

May 01
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

Greggs plc Just Beat EPS By 9.3%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Apr 12
Greggs plc Just Beat EPS By 9.3%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Apr 05
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Mar 28
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Greggs' (LON:GRG) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

Mar 12
Greggs' (LON:GRG) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

Greggs' (LON:GRG) Dividend Will Be Increased To £0.86

Mar 08
Greggs' (LON:GRG) Dividend Will Be Increased To £0.86

An Intrinsic Calculation For Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Suggests It's 29% Undervalued

Feb 10
An Intrinsic Calculation For Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Suggests It's 29% Undervalued

Is Now The Time To Put Greggs (LON:GRG) On Your Watchlist?

Jan 22
Is Now The Time To Put Greggs (LON:GRG) On Your Watchlist?

Investor Optimism Abounds Greggs plc (LON:GRG) But Growth Is Lacking

Dec 23
Investor Optimism Abounds Greggs plc (LON:GRG) But Growth Is Lacking

A Look Into Greggs' (LON:GRG) Impressive Returns On Capital

Nov 07
A Look Into Greggs' (LON:GRG) Impressive Returns On Capital

Do Greggs' (LON:GRG) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Oct 23
Do Greggs' (LON:GRG) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Is Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Potentially Undervalued?

Sep 21
Is Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Potentially Undervalued?

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.16

Aug 29
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.16

Greggs' (LON:GRG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Aug 04
Greggs' (LON:GRG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Why You Should Care About Greggs' (LON:GRG) Strong Returns On Capital

Jul 13
Why You Should Care About Greggs' (LON:GRG) Strong Returns On Capital

Should You Think About Buying Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Now?

May 28
Should You Think About Buying Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Now?

Investors Shouldn't Overlook The Favourable Returns On Capital At Greggs (LON:GRG)

Apr 13
Investors Shouldn't Overlook The Favourable Returns On Capital At Greggs (LON:GRG)

Is There Now An Opportunity In Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Jan 18
Is There Now An Opportunity In Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Here's What Greggs' (LON:GRG) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

Jan 05
Here's What Greggs' (LON:GRG) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

Should You Be Adding Greggs (LON:GRG) To Your Watchlist Today?

Nov 25
Should You Be Adding Greggs (LON:GRG) To Your Watchlist Today?

When Should You Buy Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Oct 15
When Should You Buy Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Here's What Greggs' (LON:GRG) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

Sep 28
Here's What Greggs' (LON:GRG) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.15

Aug 05
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.15

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Jul 04
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Aiming To Keep Up Its Impressive Returns

May 04
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Aiming To Keep Up Its Impressive Returns

Here's Why I Think Greggs (LON:GRG) Is An Interesting Stock

Mar 08
Here's Why I Think Greggs (LON:GRG) Is An Interesting Stock

At UK£26.68, Is It Time To Put Greggs plc (LON:GRG) On Your Watch List?

Jan 31
At UK£26.68, Is It Time To Put Greggs plc (LON:GRG) On Your Watch List?

Returns On Capital At Greggs (LON:GRG) Paint A Concerning Picture

Nov 28
Returns On Capital At Greggs (LON:GRG) Paint A Concerning Picture

Is There Now An Opportunity In Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Oct 17
Is There Now An Opportunity In Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Greggs (LON:GRG) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

Aug 26
Greggs (LON:GRG) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:GRG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20272,670N/A132N/A1
12/31/20262,39315414934612
12/31/20252,1971417231612
12/31/20242,0171412930412
6/29/20241,926137149356N/A
3/29/20241,868140131333N/A
12/30/20231,810143113311N/A
9/30/20231,736139111286N/A
7/1/20231,662135110260N/A
4/1/20231,588128129256N/A
12/31/20221,513120148252N/A
9/30/20221,445120167254N/A
7/2/20221,378119185257N/A
4/2/20221,304118208271N/A
1/1/20221,230118231286N/A
10/1/20211,143101209258N/A
7/3/20211,05785187230N/A
4/3/20219343685137N/A
1/2/2021811-13-1844N/A
10/2/2020867-4-2154N/A
6/27/20209224-2363N/A
3/27/20201,0454653141N/A
12/28/20191,16887130219N/A
9/28/20191,13481119203N/A
6/29/20191,09976107186N/A
3/29/20191,0647188161N/A
12/29/20181,0296670136N/A
9/29/20181,0066365129N/A
6/30/20189836161122N/A
3/31/201897259N/A119N/A
12/30/201796057N/A117N/A
9/30/201794255N/A112N/A
7/1/201792553N/A107N/A
4/1/201791056N/A112N/A
12/31/201689458N/A118N/A
9/30/201687758N/A116N/A
7/2/201685957N/A114N/A
4/2/201684857N/A109N/A
1/2/201683658N/A104N/A
10/2/201583355N/AN/AN/A
7/4/201583051N/A101N/A
4/4/201581845N/A99N/A
1/3/201580638N/A97N/A
10/3/201479130N/AN/AN/A
6/28/201477522N/A75N/A
3/28/201476923N/A72N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GRG's forecast earnings growth (4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.1%).

Earnings vs Market: GRG's earnings (4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the UK market (14.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GRG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GRG's revenue (8.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (3.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GRG's revenue (8.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GRG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (23.3%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/30 18:31
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/30 00:00
Earnings2024/06/29
Annual Earnings2023/12/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Greggs plc is covered by 34 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard TaylorBarclays
Robert ChantryBerenberg
Matthew AbrahamBerenberg