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Greggs plcLSE:GRG Stock Report

Market Cap UK£1.6b
Share Price
UK£16.13
My Fair Value
n/a
1Y-41.8%
7D-4.2%
Portfolio Value
​
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Greggs plc

LSE:GRG Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.6b

Greggs (GRG) Stock Overview

Operates as a food-on-the-go retailer in the United Kingdom. More details

GRG fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance3/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends3/6

Rewards

Price-To-Earnings ratio (11.1x) is below the UK market (16.5x)

Revenue is forecast to grow 7.29% per year

Earnings grew by 5.4% over the past year

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Risk Analysis

High level of non-cash earnings

Dividend of 4.34% is not well covered by free cash flows


GRG Community Fair Values

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See what 139 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

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Greggs

Expanding Stores And Digital Ordering Will Offer Promise Amid Risks

Key Takeaways Expansion into new convenience channels and digital platforms positions Greggs for sustained revenue growth without eroding its existing customer base. Strategic focus on value, innovation, and supply chain efficiency supports market share gains, cost control, and enhanced profitability amid challenging consumer environments.
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UK£20.66
FV
23.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
7.42%
Revenue growth p.a.
2users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
79users have followed this narrative
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Greggs

UK Quick-Service Saturation And Rising Regulation Will Undermine Viability

Key Takeaways Evolving consumer preferences and regulatory demands threaten revenue growth and profitability by increasing compliance costs and challenging Greggs' traditional product offerings. Market saturation, fierce competition, and rising input costs are capping expansion potential, compressing margins, and limiting earnings growth opportunities.
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UK£13.3
FV
19.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
7.43%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
3users have followed this narrative
GRG logo
Greggs

Digital Channels And Urban Trends Will Reshape Convenient Dining

Key Takeaways Expansion into diverse shop formats, digital channels, and retail partnerships is set to boost revenue growth and create previously untapped high-margin earnings streams. Supply chain automation and menu innovation focused on health trends are poised to deliver sustained margin improvements and outsized market share gains.
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UK£30.6
FV
48.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
9.90%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
5users have followed this narrative
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Greggs plc Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Greggs
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUK£16.13
52 Week HighUK£28.90
52 Week LowUK£14.99
Beta1.39
1 Month Change-3.76%
3 Month Change1.13%
1 Year Change-41.81%
3 Year Change-23.70%
5 Year Change1.96%
Change since IPO3,952.76%

Recent News & Updates

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

Oct 22
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

Greggs (LON:GRG) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Sep 09
Greggs (LON:GRG) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Recent updates

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

Oct 22
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

Greggs (LON:GRG) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Sep 09
Greggs (LON:GRG) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Greggs (LON:GRG) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of £0.19

Aug 28
Greggs (LON:GRG) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of £0.19

Insufficient Growth At Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Hampers Share Price

Aug 16
Insufficient Growth At Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Hampers Share Price

Greggs (LON:GRG) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of £0.19

Aug 01
Greggs (LON:GRG) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of £0.19

Greggs (LON:GRG) Knows How To Allocate Capital

Jun 28
Greggs (LON:GRG) Knows How To Allocate Capital

Is There An Opportunity With Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) 46% Undervaluation?

Jun 11
Is There An Opportunity With Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) 46% Undervaluation?

Here's Why Shareholders May Want To Be Cautious With Increasing Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) CEO Pay Packet

May 14
Here's Why Shareholders May Want To Be Cautious With Increasing Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) CEO Pay Packet

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

May 11
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Greggs (LON:GRG) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

Mar 11
Greggs (LON:GRG) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
User avatar

Upcoming Shop Openings And Tech Investments Will Extend Reach But May Pressure Margins

Strategic expansion, supply chain investment, and menu innovation are set to boost revenue, profit margins, and operational capacity.

Greggs plc Just Beat EPS By 11%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Mar 06
Greggs plc Just Beat EPS By 11%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Jan 25
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%

Jan 11
Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 25%

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Greggs plc (LON:GRG)

Jan 06
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Greggs plc (LON:GRG)

When Should You Buy Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Dec 21
When Should You Buy Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Oct 31
Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Investors Shouldn't Overlook Greggs' (LON:GRG) Impressive Returns On Capital

Oct 15
Investors Shouldn't Overlook Greggs' (LON:GRG) Impressive Returns On Capital

At UK£31.72, Is Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Sep 15
At UK£31.72, Is Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Worth Looking At Closely?

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.19

Aug 21
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of £0.19

Analysts Are Updating Their Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Estimates After Its Half-Yearly Results

Aug 01
Analysts Are Updating Their Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Estimates After Its Half-Yearly Results

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Greggs (LON:GRG) Presents An Opportunity

Jun 04
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Greggs (LON:GRG) Presents An Opportunity

There's Reason For Concern Over Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) Price

May 22
There's Reason For Concern Over Greggs plc's (LON:GRG) Price

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

May 01
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return

Greggs plc Just Beat EPS By 9.3%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Apr 12
Greggs plc Just Beat EPS By 9.3%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Apr 05
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Mar 28
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Greggs' (LON:GRG) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

Mar 12
Greggs' (LON:GRG) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

Greggs' (LON:GRG) Dividend Will Be Increased To £0.86

Mar 08
Greggs' (LON:GRG) Dividend Will Be Increased To £0.86

An Intrinsic Calculation For Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Suggests It's 29% Undervalued

Feb 10
An Intrinsic Calculation For Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Suggests It's 29% Undervalued

Is Now The Time To Put Greggs (LON:GRG) On Your Watchlist?

Jan 22
Is Now The Time To Put Greggs (LON:GRG) On Your Watchlist?

Investor Optimism Abounds Greggs plc (LON:GRG) But Growth Is Lacking

Dec 23
Investor Optimism Abounds Greggs plc (LON:GRG) But Growth Is Lacking

A Look Into Greggs' (LON:GRG) Impressive Returns On Capital

Nov 07
A Look Into Greggs' (LON:GRG) Impressive Returns On Capital

Do Greggs' (LON:GRG) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Oct 23
Do Greggs' (LON:GRG) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Is Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Potentially Undervalued?

Sep 21
Is Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Potentially Undervalued?

Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.16

Aug 29
Greggs (LON:GRG) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.16

Greggs' (LON:GRG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Aug 04
Greggs' (LON:GRG) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Why You Should Care About Greggs' (LON:GRG) Strong Returns On Capital

Jul 13
Why You Should Care About Greggs' (LON:GRG) Strong Returns On Capital

Should You Think About Buying Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Now?

May 28
Should You Think About Buying Greggs plc (LON:GRG) Now?

Investors Shouldn't Overlook The Favourable Returns On Capital At Greggs (LON:GRG)

Apr 13
Investors Shouldn't Overlook The Favourable Returns On Capital At Greggs (LON:GRG)

Is There Now An Opportunity In Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Jan 18
Is There Now An Opportunity In Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Here's What Greggs' (LON:GRG) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

Jan 05
Here's What Greggs' (LON:GRG) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

Should You Be Adding Greggs (LON:GRG) To Your Watchlist Today?

Nov 25
Should You Be Adding Greggs (LON:GRG) To Your Watchlist Today?

When Should You Buy Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Oct 15
When Should You Buy Greggs plc (LON:GRG)?

Here's What Greggs' (LON:GRG) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

Sep 28
Here's What Greggs' (LON:GRG) Strong Returns On Capital Mean

Shareholder Returns

GRGGB HospitalityGB Market
7D-4.2%-3.6%0.5%
1Y-41.8%-5.8%17.5%

Return vs Industry: GRG underperformed the UK Hospitality industry which returned -5.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GRG underperformed the UK Market which returned 17.5% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GRG's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GRG volatility
GRG Average Weekly Movement3.8%
Hospitality Industry Average Movement4.1%
Market Average Movement4.7%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market10.8%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market2.6%

Stable Share Price: GRG has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the UK market.

Volatility Over Time: GRG's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
193933,146Roisin Curriecorporate.greggs.co.uk

Greggs plc operates as a food-on-the-go retailer in the United Kingdom. It offers a range of fresh bakery products, sandwiches, and drinks, as well as ready to drink canned products. The company is also involved in the property holding, non-trading, and trustee businesses.

Greggs plc Fundamentals Summary

How do Greggs's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GRG fundamental statistics
Market capUK£1.64b
Earnings (TTM)UK£144.80m
Revenue (TTM)UK£2.08b
11.3x
P/E Ratio
0.8x
P/S Ratio

Is GRG overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
GRG income statement (TTM)
RevenueUK£2.08b
Cost of RevenueUK£797.10m
Gross ProfitUK£1.28b
Other ExpensesUK£1.14b
EarningsUK£144.80m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 28, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.43
Gross Margin61.71%
Net Profit Margin6.96%
Debt/Equity Ratio6.2%

How did GRG perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

4.3%
Current Dividend Yield
49%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/03 16:37
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/31 00:00
Earnings2025/06/28
Annual Earnings2024/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Greggs plc is covered by 27 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard TaylorBarclays
Matthew AbrahamBerenberg
Nigel ParsonCanaccord Genuity