Stock Analysis

Why Tribal Group plc (LON:TRB) Could Be Worth Watching

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AIM:TRB
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Tribal Group plc (LON:TRB), is not the largest company out there, but it led the AIM gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s examine Tribal Group’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

Check out our latest analysis for Tribal Group

What is Tribal Group worth?

Good news, investors! Tribal Group is still a bargain right now. According to my valuation, the intrinsic value for the stock is £1.37, which is above what the market is valuing the company at the moment. This indicates a potential opportunity to buy low. What’s more interesting is that, Tribal Group’s share price is theoretically quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to move to its intrinsic value, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of Tribal Group look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
AIM:TRB Earnings and Revenue Growth March 2nd 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Tribal Group, it is expected to deliver a negative revenue growth of -2.4% over the next couple of years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Although TRB is currently undervalued, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. Consider whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to TRB, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on TRB for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you dig deeper into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

If you want to dive deeper into Tribal Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example - Tribal Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

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Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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