Tribal Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of TRB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

TRB (£0.49) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (£1.12)

Is TRB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TRB (£0.49) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£1.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for TRB. This is calculated by dividing TRB's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is TRB's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	UK£103.78m

TRB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	15.1x
PEG Ratio	1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TRB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TRB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	22.5x
ANX Anexo Group	8.8x	44.3%	UK£82.8m
PSON Pearson	22x	10.2%	UK£7.7b
ATG Auction Technology Group	53.4x	33.5%	UK£572.0m
NXQ Nexteq	5.6x	-112.6%	UK£45.6m
TRB Tribal Group	53.9x	35.8%	UK£103.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TRB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (53.9x) compared to the peer average (22.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TRB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Services Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	12.1%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	12.1%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TRB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (53.9x) compared to the European Consumer Services industry average (20.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	53.9x
Fair PE Ratio	22.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TRB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (53.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TRB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	UK£0.49	UK£0.81 +66.7%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	n/a	2
Oct ’25	UK£0.43	UK£0.81 +86.2%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	n/a	2
Sep ’25	UK£0.54	UK£0.81 +50.0%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	n/a	2
Aug ’25	UK£0.60	UK£0.81 +35.6%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	n/a	2
Jul ’25	UK£0.53	UK£0.81 +52.8%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	n/a	2
Jun ’25	UK£0.56	UK£0.81 +44.6%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	n/a	2
May ’25	UK£0.53	UK£0.81 +52.8%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	n/a	2
Apr ’25	UK£0.44	UK£0.81 +83.9%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	n/a	2
Mar ’25	UK£0.43	UK£0.81 +88.2%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	n/a	2
Feb ’25	UK£0.42	UK£0.81 +91.0%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	n/a	2
Oct ’24	UK£0.55	UK£0.81 +48.6%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	UK£0.43	2
Sep ’24	UK£0.45	UK£0.81 +81.0%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	UK£0.54	2
Aug ’24	UK£0.41	UK£0.81 +95.2%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	UK£0.60	2
Jul ’24	UK£0.40	UK£0.81 +105.1%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	UK£0.53	2
Jun ’24	UK£0.39	UK£0.81 +108.0%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	UK£0.56	2
May ’24	UK£0.39	UK£0.81 +108.2%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	UK£0.53	2
Apr ’24	UK£0.40	UK£0.81 +102.5%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	UK£0.44	2
Mar ’24	UK£0.48	UK£0.81 +69.1%	1.2%	UK£0.82	UK£0.80	UK£0.43	2
Feb ’24	UK£0.54	UK£1.11 +107.5%	27.9%	UK£1.42	UK£0.80	UK£0.42	2
Jan ’24	UK£0.47	UK£1.11 +136.2%	27.9%	UK£1.42	UK£0.80	UK£0.55	2
Dec ’23	UK£0.46	UK£1.11 +141.3%	27.9%	UK£1.42	UK£0.80	UK£0.64	2
Nov ’23	UK£0.66	UK£1.34 +103.8%	6.4%	UK£1.42	UK£1.25	UK£0.64	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.