DFI Retail Group Holdings Limited

LSE:DFIJ Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.4b

DFI Retail Group Holdings Valuation

Is DFIJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DFIJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DFIJ ($9.17) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($26.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DFIJ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DFIJ?

Key metric: As DFIJ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DFIJ. This is calculated by dividing DFIJ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DFIJ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.4x
EarningsUS$119.10m
Market CapUS$3.38b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DFIJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DFIJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.6x
SBRY J Sainsbury
43.1x21.5%UK£5.9b
MKS Marks and Spencer Group
15.1x7.1%UK£7.7b
TSCO Tesco
12.5x1.5%UK£23.7b
CBOX Cake Box Holdings
15.6xn/aUK£77.0m
DFIJ DFI Retail Group Holdings
28.4x25.9%US$3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DFIJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the peer average (21.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DFIJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DFIJ 28.4xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DFIJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DFIJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DFIJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.4x
Fair PE Ratio25x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DFIJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DFIJ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.17
US$2.61
-71.5%
13.6%US$3.00US$1.85n/a7
Nov ’25US$9.17
US$2.61
-71.5%
13.6%US$3.00US$1.85n/a7
Oct ’25US$9.17
US$2.56
-72.1%
12.5%US$3.00US$1.85n/a7
Sep ’25US$9.17
US$2.43
-73.5%
13.4%US$2.81US$1.85n/a8
Aug ’25US$9.17
US$2.64
-71.3%
12.2%US$3.13US$2.15n/a8
Jul ’25US$9.17
US$2.64
-71.3%
12.2%US$3.13US$2.15n/a8
Jun ’25US$9.17
US$2.67
-70.9%
10.5%US$3.13US$2.30n/a8
May ’25US$9.17
US$2.67
-70.9%
10.5%US$3.13US$2.30n/a8
Apr ’25US$9.17
US$2.67
-70.9%
10.5%US$3.13US$2.30n/a8
Mar ’25US$9.17
US$3.03
-67.0%
9.6%US$3.49US$2.50n/a7
Feb ’25US$9.17
US$3.22
-64.9%
9.0%US$3.80US$2.90n/a8
Jan ’25US$9.17
US$3.22
-64.9%
9.0%US$3.80US$2.90n/a8
Dec ’24US$9.17
US$3.22
-64.9%
9.0%US$3.80US$2.90n/a8
Nov ’24US$9.17
US$3.30
-64.1%
9.1%US$3.80US$2.90US$9.178
Oct ’24US$9.17
US$3.30
-64.1%
9.1%US$3.80US$2.90US$9.178
Sep ’24US$9.17
US$3.30
-64.1%
9.1%US$3.80US$2.90US$9.178
Aug ’24US$9.17
US$3.30
-64.1%
9.1%US$3.80US$2.90US$9.178
Jul ’24US$9.17
US$3.50
-61.8%
7.3%US$3.80US$3.09US$9.178
Jun ’24US$9.17
US$3.59
-60.9%
9.1%US$4.07US$3.09US$9.178
May ’24US$9.17
US$3.60
-60.7%
8.5%US$4.07US$3.09US$9.179
Apr ’24US$9.17
US$3.62
-60.6%
8.5%US$4.07US$3.09US$9.179
Mar ’24US$9.17
US$2.98
-67.5%
20.9%US$3.90US$2.24US$9.179
Feb ’24US$9.17
US$2.88
-68.6%
18.5%US$3.90US$2.24US$9.179
Jan ’24US$9.17
US$2.77
-69.8%
16.2%US$3.90US$2.24US$9.179
Dec ’23US$9.17
US$2.67
-70.8%
9.2%US$3.07US$2.24US$9.179
Nov ’23US$9.17
US$2.67
-70.9%
7.5%US$2.96US$2.24US$9.179

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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