Marks and Spencer Group plc

LSE:MKS Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£5.3b

Marks and Spencer Group Valuation

Is MKS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MKS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MKS (£2.61) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£4.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MKS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MKS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MKS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7x
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MKS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MKS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.7x
FIVE X5 Retail Group
8.6x32.7%US$6.0b
SBRY J Sainsbury
43.8x26.4%UK£6.0b
TSCO Tesco
11.5x2.8%UK£20.2b
CBOX Cake Box Holdings
14.8xn/aUK£67.0m
MKS Marks and Spencer Group
13.1x7.8%UK£5.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MKS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (19.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MKS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MKS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MKS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MKS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MKS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MKS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£2.62
UK£3.04
+16.3%
10.2%UK£3.50UK£2.30n/a16
Apr ’25UK£2.65
UK£2.98
+12.6%
10.2%UK£3.45UK£2.30n/a16
Mar ’25UK£2.34
UK£2.94
+25.3%
10.5%UK£3.45UK£2.30n/a17
Feb ’25UK£2.42
UK£2.93
+21.0%
10.5%UK£3.45UK£2.30n/a17
Jan ’25UK£2.72
UK£2.71
-0.5%
15.9%UK£3.30UK£1.80n/a17
Dec ’24UK£2.54
UK£2.57
+0.9%
19.9%UK£3.30UK£1.60n/a17
Nov ’24UK£2.24
UK£2.34
+4.3%
18.3%UK£3.00UK£1.60n/a18
Oct ’24UK£2.37
UK£2.32
-1.8%
18.3%UK£3.00UK£1.60n/a19
Sep ’24UK£2.28
UK£2.21
-3.1%
18.1%UK£3.00UK£1.50n/a20
Aug ’24UK£2.07
UK£1.98
-4.5%
15.1%UK£2.60UK£1.44n/a20
Jul ’24UK£1.93
UK£1.96
+1.6%
13.7%UK£2.50UK£1.44n/a20
Jun ’24UK£1.82
UK£1.86
+2.4%
15.9%UK£2.35UK£1.20n/a19
May ’24UK£1.64
UK£1.65
+0.3%
14.2%UK£2.10UK£1.20n/a20
Apr ’24UK£1.67
UK£1.62
-2.8%
13.4%UK£2.10UK£1.20UK£2.6520
Mar ’24UK£1.58
UK£1.55
-2.0%
14.8%UK£2.10UK£1.15UK£2.3421
Feb ’24UK£1.50
UK£1.48
-1.7%
13.7%UK£1.98UK£1.15UK£2.4221
Jan ’24UK£1.23
UK£1.36
+10.0%
19.3%UK£1.98UK£0.90UK£2.7221
Dec ’23UK£1.23
UK£1.35
+10.2%
19.4%UK£1.98UK£0.90UK£2.5421
Nov ’23UK£1.11
UK£1.38
+24.6%
23.2%UK£1.98UK£0.90UK£2.2421
Oct ’23UK£0.99
UK£1.64
+65.7%
24.1%UK£2.75UK£1.10UK£2.3721
Sep ’23UK£1.22
UK£1.73
+42.2%
19.9%UK£2.75UK£1.20UK£2.2821
Aug ’23UK£1.41
UK£1.73
+22.5%
19.9%UK£2.75UK£1.20UK£2.0721
Jul ’23UK£1.38
UK£1.86
+34.9%
21.3%UK£2.75UK£1.34UK£1.9321
Jun ’23UK£1.50
UK£1.89
+26.3%
22.0%UK£2.75UK£1.34UK£1.8221
May ’23UK£1.38
UK£2.12
+53.9%
17.3%UK£2.75UK£1.50UK£1.6421
Apr ’23UK£1.58
UK£2.25
+42.3%
15.9%UK£2.75UK£1.50UK£1.6721

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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