Marks and Spencer Group plc

LSE:MKS Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£7.9b

Marks and Spencer Group Valuation

Is MKS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MKS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MKS (£3.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£5.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MKS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MKS?

Key metric: As MKS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MKS. This is calculated by dividing MKS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MKS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.6x
EarningsUK£505.30m
Market CapUK£7.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MKS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MKS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.6x
SBRY J Sainsbury
36.6x20.6%UK£6.4b
TSCO Tesco
13.2x1.5%UK£25.0b
CBOX Cake Box Holdings
15.8xn/aUK£78.0m
SHP Shoprite Holdings
25x12.8%R164.4b
MKS Marks and Spencer Group
15.6x9.3%UK£7.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MKS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (22.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MKS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MKS 15.6xIndustry Avg. 15.0xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MKS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MKS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MKS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio20.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MKS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MKS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£3.92
UK£4.35
+11.1%
6.8%UK£4.75UK£3.42n/a17
Dec ’25UK£3.83
UK£4.26
+11.2%
12.6%UK£4.75UK£2.30n/a17
Nov ’25UK£3.81
UK£3.99
+4.8%
12.4%UK£4.42UK£2.30n/a16
Oct ’25UK£3.77
UK£3.70
-1.8%
12.3%UK£4.35UK£2.30n/a16
Sep ’25UK£3.42
UK£3.40
-0.6%
11.8%UK£3.80UK£2.30n/a16
Aug ’25UK£3.31
UK£3.36
+1.6%
11.9%UK£3.80UK£2.30n/a16
Jul ’25UK£2.88
UK£3.35
+16.1%
11.9%UK£3.80UK£2.30n/a16
Jun ’25UK£3.02
UK£3.22
+6.5%
11.8%UK£3.75UK£2.30n/a16
May ’25UK£2.55
UK£3.04
+19.5%
10.2%UK£3.50UK£2.30n/a16
Apr ’25UK£2.65
UK£2.98
+12.6%
10.2%UK£3.45UK£2.30n/a16
Mar ’25UK£2.34
UK£2.94
+25.3%
10.5%UK£3.45UK£2.30n/a17
Feb ’25UK£2.42
UK£2.93
+21.0%
10.5%UK£3.45UK£2.30n/a17
Jan ’25UK£2.72
UK£2.71
-0.5%
15.9%UK£3.30UK£1.80n/a17
Dec ’24UK£2.54
UK£2.57
+0.9%
19.9%UK£3.30UK£1.60UK£3.8317
Nov ’24UK£2.24
UK£2.34
+4.3%
18.3%UK£3.00UK£1.60UK£3.8118
Oct ’24UK£2.37
UK£2.32
-1.8%
18.3%UK£3.00UK£1.60UK£3.7719
Sep ’24UK£2.28
UK£2.21
-3.1%
18.1%UK£3.00UK£1.50UK£3.4220
Aug ’24UK£2.07
UK£1.98
-4.5%
15.1%UK£2.60UK£1.44UK£3.3120
Jul ’24UK£1.93
UK£1.96
+1.6%
13.7%UK£2.50UK£1.44UK£2.8820
Jun ’24UK£1.82
UK£1.86
+2.4%
15.9%UK£2.35UK£1.20UK£3.0219
May ’24UK£1.64
UK£1.65
+0.3%
14.2%UK£2.10UK£1.20UK£2.5520
Apr ’24UK£1.67
UK£1.62
-2.8%
13.4%UK£2.10UK£1.20UK£2.6520
Mar ’24UK£1.58
UK£1.55
-2.0%
14.8%UK£2.10UK£1.15UK£2.3421
Feb ’24UK£1.50
UK£1.48
-1.7%
13.7%UK£1.98UK£1.15UK£2.4221
Jan ’24UK£1.23
UK£1.36
+10.0%
19.3%UK£1.98UK£0.90UK£2.7221
Dec ’23UK£1.23
UK£1.35
+10.2%
19.4%UK£1.98UK£0.90UK£2.5421

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 18:53
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Marks and Spencer Group plc is covered by 51 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Virginie BlinAlphaValue
Philip DorganAltium Capital Limited
Nicholas BubbArden Partners Plc.