J Sainsbury Valuation

Is SBRY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SBRY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SBRY (£2.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£5.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SBRY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SBRY?

Key metric: As SBRY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SBRY. This is calculated by dividing SBRY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SBRY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	41.6x
Earnings	UK£137.00m
Market Cap	UK£5.70b

SBRY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	5.7x
PEG Ratio	1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SBRY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SBRY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	14.2x
MKS Marks and Spencer Group	14.7x	7.1%	UK£7.4b
TSCO Tesco	12.3x	1.5%	UK£23.4b
CBOX Cake Box Holdings	15.5x	n/a	UK£76.8m
VINO Virgin Wines UK	14.3x	n/a	UK£19.8m
SBRY J Sainsbury	41.6x	21.5%	UK£5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SBRY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.6x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SBRY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SBRY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.6x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (14.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SBRY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SBRY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	41.6x
Fair PE Ratio	26.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SBRY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SBRY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	UK£2.45	UK£3.08 +25.8%	9.4%	UK£3.55	UK£2.45	n/a	13
Nov ’25	UK£2.65	UK£3.14 +18.4%	8.6%	UK£3.60	UK£2.60	n/a	13
Oct ’25	UK£2.94	UK£3.12 +6.1%	8.3%	UK£3.60	UK£2.60	n/a	13
Sep ’25	UK£2.92	UK£3.03 +3.5%	10.4%	UK£3.60	UK£2.40	n/a	13
Aug ’25	UK£2.76	UK£3.03 +9.8%	10.4%	UK£3.60	UK£2.40	n/a	13
Jul ’25	UK£2.58	UK£3.03 +17.4%	10.4%	UK£3.60	UK£2.40	n/a	13
Jun ’25	UK£2.77	UK£3.04 +9.8%	10.1%	UK£3.60	UK£2.40	n/a	12
May ’25	UK£2.64	UK£3.02 +14.3%	11.4%	UK£3.60	UK£2.36	n/a	12
Apr ’25	UK£2.70	UK£3.01 +11.5%	11.6%	UK£3.60	UK£2.35	n/a	12
Mar ’25	UK£2.49	UK£2.97 +19.2%	11.9%	UK£3.60	UK£2.35	n/a	13
Feb ’25	UK£2.67	UK£2.93 +9.6%	13.4%	UK£3.60	UK£2.23	n/a	13
Jan ’25	UK£3.03	UK£2.89 -4.4%	12.1%	UK£3.50	UK£2.35	n/a	13
Dec ’24	UK£2.85	UK£2.82 -1.1%	9.0%	UK£3.20	UK£2.35	n/a	13
Nov ’24	UK£2.62	UK£2.70 +3.2%	8.1%	UK£3.00	UK£2.25	UK£2.65	12
Oct ’24	UK£2.53	UK£2.71 +7.2%	8.4%	UK£3.00	UK£2.25	UK£2.94	12
Sep ’24	UK£2.70	UK£2.69 -0.6%	10.1%	UK£3.00	UK£2.09	UK£2.92	12
Aug ’24	UK£2.79	UK£2.69 -3.6%	10.6%	UK£3.00	UK£2.09	UK£2.76	11
Jul ’24	UK£2.69	UK£2.69 -0.07%	11.7%	UK£3.15	UK£2.09	UK£2.58	11
Jun ’24	UK£2.73	UK£2.62 -4.1%	12.3%	UK£3.15	UK£2.15	UK£2.77	11
May ’24	UK£2.76	UK£2.60 -5.8%	15.1%	UK£3.20	UK£2.00	UK£2.64	11
Apr ’24	UK£2.79	UK£2.50 -10.2%	15.2%	UK£3.20	UK£2.00	UK£2.70	11
Mar ’24	UK£2.66	UK£2.44 -8.2%	14.3%	UK£3.20	UK£2.00	UK£2.49	11
Feb ’24	UK£2.64	UK£2.44 -7.5%	14.3%	UK£3.20	UK£2.00	UK£2.67	11
Jan ’24	UK£2.18	UK£2.25 +3.5%	17.5%	UK£3.20	UK£1.80	UK£3.03	13
Dec ’23	UK£2.22	UK£2.21 -0.6%	20.5%	UK£3.20	UK£1.61	UK£2.85	12
Nov ’23	UK£2.00	UK£2.17 +8.8%	22.1%	UK£3.20	UK£1.55	UK£2.62	12

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.