Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding Cairn Homes plc (LON:CRN)

LSE:CRN
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When close to half the companies in the United Kingdom have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 16x, you may consider Cairn Homes plc (LON:CRN) as an attractive investment with its 13.1x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Cairn Homes certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Cairn Homes

pe-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:CRN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 10th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Cairn Homes' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Cairn Homes?

Cairn Homes' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 25%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 161% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 20% per annum as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that Cairn Homes is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Cairn Homes' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Cairn Homes, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Cairn Homes. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.