Stock Analysis

Is Berkeley Group Holdings (LON:BKG) A Risky Investment?

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LSE:BKG

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies The Berkeley Group Holdings plc (LON:BKG) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Berkeley Group Holdings

How Much Debt Does Berkeley Group Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, Berkeley Group Holdings had UK£660.0m of debt, at October 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have UK£1.13b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of UK£474.4m.

LSE:BKG Debt to Equity History December 26th 2024

How Healthy Is Berkeley Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Berkeley Group Holdings had liabilities of UK£1.87b falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£1.47b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had UK£1.13b in cash and UK£88.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total UK£2.11b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Berkeley Group Holdings is worth UK£3.97b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Berkeley Group Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Berkeley Group Holdings's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Berkeley Group Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Berkeley Group Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Berkeley Group Holdings recorded free cash flow of 26% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Summing Up

Although Berkeley Group Holdings's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of UK£474.4m. So we are not troubled with Berkeley Group Holdings's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Berkeley Group Holdings (including 1 which is significant) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Berkeley Group Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.