Stock Analysis

Is Berkeley Group Holdings (LON:BKG) A Risky Investment?

LSE:BKG
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies The Berkeley Group Holdings plc (LON:BKG) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Berkeley Group Holdings

What Is Berkeley Group Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, Berkeley Group Holdings had UK£300.0m of debt at April 2021, down from UK£500.0m a year prior. However, it does have UK£1.43b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of UK£1.13b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:BKG Debt to Equity History July 19th 2021

A Look At Berkeley Group Holdings' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Berkeley Group Holdings had liabilities of UK£1.68b due within a year, and liabilities of UK£694.8m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had UK£1.43b in cash and UK£83.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£865.3m.

Since publicly traded Berkeley Group Holdings shares are worth a total of UK£5.66b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Berkeley Group Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Fortunately, Berkeley Group Holdings grew its EBIT by 6.9% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Berkeley Group Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Berkeley Group Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Berkeley Group Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 70% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing up

While Berkeley Group Holdings does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of UK£1.13b. The cherry on top was that in converted 70% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in UK£322m. So is Berkeley Group Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Berkeley Group Holdings you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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