Vistry Group PLC

BATS-CHIXE:VTYL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£4.1b

Vistry Group Valuation

Is VTYL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VTYL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VTYL (£12.08) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£10.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VTYL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VTYL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VTYL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.8x
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VTYL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VTYL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.5x
BDEV Barratt Developments
20.1x18.5%UK£4.4b
BKG Berkeley Group Holdings
10.9x-2.3%UK£5.0b
TW. Taylor Wimpey
13.2x8.8%UK£4.6b
BWY Bellway
13.6x12.6%UK£3.0b
VTYL Vistry Group
18.3x16.1%UK£4.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VTYL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the peer average (14.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VTYL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.2%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VTYL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the European Consumer Durables industry average (13.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VTYL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VTYL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.3x
Fair PE Ratio21.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VTYL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VTYL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£12.08
UK£11.47
-5.1%
15.1%UK£14.00UK£9.07n/a15
Apr ’25UK£12.32
UK£10.93
-11.3%
19.4%UK£14.00UK£5.80n/a15
Mar ’25UK£10.97
UK£9.65
-12.0%
17.4%UK£13.00UK£5.80n/a15
Feb ’25UK£9.80
UK£9.57
-2.3%
18.0%UK£13.00UK£5.80n/a15
Jan ’25UK£9.19
UK£9.07
-1.4%
21.1%UK£13.00UK£5.80n/a15
Dec ’24UK£7.55
UK£9.09
+20.5%
20.8%UK£13.00UK£5.80n/a15
Nov ’24UK£7.04
UK£9.22
+31.1%
21.4%UK£13.00UK£5.80n/a16
Oct ’24UK£9.16
UK£9.74
+6.4%
21.9%UK£14.00UK£5.80n/a17
Sep ’24UK£7.77
UK£8.74
+12.6%
14.9%UK£11.80UK£5.80n/a16
Aug ’24UK£7.84
UK£8.74
+11.5%
14.9%UK£11.80UK£5.80n/a16
Jul ’24UK£6.61
UK£8.79
+33.1%
13.0%UK£11.80UK£7.40n/a16
Jun ’24UK£7.49
UK£8.97
+19.8%
15.0%UK£11.80UK£7.25n/a15
May ’24UK£7.84
UK£8.74
+11.6%
16.9%UK£11.80UK£7.00UK£12.0814
Apr ’24UK£7.85
UK£8.17
+4.2%
17.4%UK£10.75UK£6.00UK£12.3213
Mar ’24UK£7.86
UK£8.11
+3.1%
17.3%UK£10.75UK£5.70UK£10.9714
Feb ’24UK£7.52
UK£8.03
+6.8%
17.3%UK£10.75UK£5.70UK£9.8014
Jan ’24UK£6.26
UK£7.53
+20.4%
17.9%UK£10.75UK£5.60UK£9.1913
Dec ’23UK£6.29
UK£8.19
+30.3%
31.1%UK£16.05UK£6.12UK£7.5513
Nov ’23UK£6.10
UK£9.35
+53.4%
38.6%UK£16.05UK£5.85UK£7.0410
Oct ’23UK£5.91
UK£11.78
+99.3%
20.3%UK£16.05UK£8.00UK£9.1611
Sep ’23UK£7.42
UK£13.21
+78.0%
18.5%UK£19.10UK£9.53UK£7.7713
Aug ’23UK£9.16
UK£13.41
+46.4%
18.6%UK£19.10UK£9.53UK£7.8415
Jul ’23UK£8.32
UK£13.83
+66.2%
17.2%UK£19.10UK£9.53UK£6.6115
Jun ’23UK£9.03
UK£13.83
+53.2%
17.2%UK£19.10UK£9.53UK£7.4915
May ’23UK£8.34
UK£13.90
+66.7%
16.5%UK£18.90UK£10.20UK£7.8415

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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