If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Having said that, from a first glance at Vesuvius (LON:VSVS) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Vesuvius:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.084 = UK£134m ÷ (UK£2.1b - UK£523m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
So, Vesuvius has an ROCE of 8.4%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 10%.
View our latest analysis for Vesuvius
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Vesuvius compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Vesuvius here for free.
So How Is Vesuvius' ROCE Trending?
Over the past five years, Vesuvius' ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. So unless we see a substantial change at Vesuvius in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger. With fewer investment opportunities, it makes sense that Vesuvius has been paying out a decent 47% of its earnings to shareholders. Given the business isn't reinvesting in itself, it makes sense to distribute a portion of earnings among shareholders.
What We Can Learn From Vesuvius' ROCE
We can conclude that in regards to Vesuvius' returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 26% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Vesuvius has the makings of a multi-bagger.
Like most companies, Vesuvius does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Vesuvius isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:VSVS
Vesuvius
Provides molten metal flow engineering and technology services to steel and foundry casting industries worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.