Senior (LSE:SNR) - Stock price, News & Analysis

SNR fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	3/6
Future Growth	4/6
Past Performance	0/6
Financial Health	5/6
Dividends	0/6

SNR Stock Overview

Rewards

Trading at 66.5% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 61.32% per year

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for SNR from our risk checks.

Senior Competitors

BAE Systems

LSE:BA.

UK£18.8b

Rolls-Royce Holdings

LSE:RR.

UK£10.0b

Meggitt

LSE:MGGT

UK£5.7b

Ultra Electronics Holdings

LSE:ULE

UK£2.1b

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Senior
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	UK£1.36
52 Week High	UK£1.87
52 Week Low	UK£0.92
Beta	1.77
1 Month Change	4.69%
3 Month Change	-14.81%
1 Year Change	41.98%
3 Year Change	-35.71%
5 Year Change	-32.56%
Change since IPO	121.63%

Recent News & Updates

May 13

Senior plc's (LON:SNR) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 82% Above Its Share Price

Today we will run through one way of estimating the intrinsic value of Senior plc ( LON:SNR ) by taking the expected...

Apr 17

It Looks Like Senior plc's (LON:SNR) CEO May Expect Their Salary To Be Put Under The Microscope

Senior plc ( LON:SNR ) has not performed well recently and CEO David Squires will probably need to up their game. At...

Mar 20

Trade Alert: The Independent Chairman Of Senior plc (LON:SNR), Ian King, Has Just Spent UK£118k Buying 24% More Shares

Investors who take an interest in Senior plc ( LON:SNR ) should definitely note that the Independent Chairman, Ian...

Shareholder Returns

	SNR	GB Aerospace & Defense	GB Market
7D	-3.3%	0.8%	-1.3%
1Y	42.0%	26.2%	7.8%

Return vs Industry: SNR exceeded the UK Aerospace & Defense industry which returned 26.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: SNR exceeded the UK Market which returned 8.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is SNR's price volatile compared to industry and market?
SNR volatility
SNR Average Weekly Movement	5.3%
Aerospace & Defense Industry Average Movement	4.2%
Market Average Movement	5.0%
10% most volatile stocks in GB Market	10.8%
10% least volatile stocks in GB Market	2.5%

Stable Share Price: SNR is not significantly more volatile than the rest of UK stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 5% a week.

Volatility Over Time: SNR's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1933	5,880	David Squires	https://www.seniorplc.com

Senior plc designs, manufactures, and markets high-technology components and systems for the principal original equipment producers in the aerospace, defense, land vehicle, and power and energy markets worldwide. The company operates in two divisions, Aerospace and Flexonics. The Aerospace division offers high-pressure and low-pressure engineered ducting systems, engineered control bellows, assemblies, and sensors; precision-machined and fabricated engine components; fluid systems ducting and control products; and precision-machined airframe components and assemblies.

Senior Fundamentals Summary

How do Senior's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
SNR fundamental statistics
Market Cap	UK£565.76m
Earnings (TTM)	-UK£29.30m
Revenue (TTM)	UK£657.40m

0.9x

P/S Ratio

-19.3x

P/E Ratio

Is SNR overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
SNR income statement (TTM)
Revenue	UK£657.40m
Cost of Revenue	UK£551.30m
Gross Profit	UK£106.10m
Expenses	UK£135.40m
Earnings	-UK£29.30m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2021

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	-0.071
Gross Margin	16.14%
Net Profit Margin	-4.46%
Debt/Equity Ratio	32.1%

How did SNR perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Valuation

Is Senior undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value

Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: SNR (£1.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£4.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SNR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: SNR is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the UK Aerospace & Defense industry average.

PE vs Market: SNR is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the UK market.

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SNR's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.

Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: SNR is good value based on its PB Ratio (1.4x) compared to the GB Aerospace & Defense industry average (2.3x).

Future Growth

How is Senior forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 9 analysts?

61.3%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SNR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (0.9%).

Earnings vs Market: SNR is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: SNR's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SNR's revenue (9.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (4.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SNR's revenue (9.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SNR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.9%).

Past Performance

How has Senior performed over the past 5 years?

-53.3%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: SNR is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: SNR is currently unprofitable.

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: SNR is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 53.3% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare SNR's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: SNR is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Aerospace & Defense industry (19.6%).

Return on Equity

High ROE: SNR has a negative Return on Equity (-7.17%), as it is currently unprofitable.

Financial Health

How is Senior's financial position?

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: SNR's short term assets (£301.2M) exceed its short term liabilities (£182.2M).

Long Term Liabilities: SNR's short term assets (£301.2M) exceed its long term liabilities (£231.8M).

Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: SNR's net debt to equity ratio (17.4%) is considered satisfactory.

Reducing Debt: SNR's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 46.5% to 32.1% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: SNR's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (37%).

Interest Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if SNR's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT.

Balance Sheet

Dividend

What is Senior current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

1.39%

Forecast Dividend Yield

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate SNR's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate SNR's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if SNR's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if SNR's dividend payments have been increasing.

Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: SNR is not paying a notable dividend for the UK market.

Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: No need to calculate the sustainability of SNR's dividend in 3 years as they are not forecast to pay a notable one for the UK market.

Next Steps

Explore strong dividend paying companies in the Capital Goods industry.

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

6.6yrs

Average management tenure

CEO

David Squires (57 yo)

6.58yrs

Tenure

UK£917,000

Compensation

Mr. David Squires has been the Group Chief Executive of Senior plc since June 1, 2015 and its Executive Director since May 1, 2015. Mr. Squires started his career in the oil industry working for Shell; how...

CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: David's total compensation ($USD1.24M) is about average for companies of similar size in the UK market ($USD1.06M).

Compensation vs Earnings: David's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.

Leadership Team

Experienced Management: SNR's management team is seasoned and experienced (6.6 years average tenure).

Board Members

Experienced Board: SNR's board of directors are considered experienced (5.3 years average tenure).

Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?

Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.

Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2022/01/21 21:17
End of Day Share Price	2022/01/21 00:00
Earnings	2021/06/30
Annual Earnings	2020/12/31