Stock Analysis

Analysts Are Updating Their RS Group plc (LON:RS1) Estimates After Its Half-Yearly Results

LSE:RS1
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It's been a good week for RS Group plc (LON:RS1) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest half-year results, and the shares gained 7.4% to UK£7.51. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of UK£1.4b and statutory earnings per share of UK£0.39. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for RS Group

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LSE:RS1 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 10th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, RS Group's 14 analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be UK£2.92b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be UK£0.36, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of UK£2.96b and earnings per share (EPS) of UK£0.36 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of UK£8.39, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on RS Group, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at UK£10.00 and the most bearish at UK£7.50 per share. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 1.3% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 11% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 3.5% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that RS Group's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at UK£8.39, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on RS Group. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple RS Group analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It might also be worth considering whether RS Group's debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.