If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating QinetiQ Group (LON:QQ.), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on QinetiQ Group is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = UK£158m ÷ (UK£1.8b - UK£672m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
Thus, QinetiQ Group has an ROCE of 14%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Aerospace & Defense industry average of 13%.
Check out our latest analysis for QinetiQ Group
In the above chart we have measured QinetiQ Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for QinetiQ Group .
The Trend Of ROCE
Over the past five years, QinetiQ Group's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So unless we see a substantial change at QinetiQ Group in terms of ROCE and additional investments being made, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger.
The Key Takeaway
In summary, QinetiQ Group isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 115% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. But if the trajectory of these underlying trends continue, we think the likelihood of it being a multi-bagger from here isn't high.
QinetiQ Group could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation for QQ. on our platform quite valuable.
While QinetiQ Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.