Stock Analysis

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Porvair plc (LON:PRV) After Its Yearly Report

LSE:PRV
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Porvair plc (LON:PRV) last week reported its latest yearly results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of UK£176m and statutory earnings per share of UK£0.35. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Porvair

earnings-and-revenue-growth
LSE:PRV Earnings and Revenue Growth February 8th 2024

Following the latest results, Porvair's three analysts are now forecasting revenues of UK£190.3m in 2024. This would be a decent 8.1% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to increase 4.5% to UK£0.36. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of UK£191.2m and earnings per share (EPS) of UK£0.34 in 2024. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

The consensus price target was unchanged at UK£7.90, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that Porvair's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 8.1% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 6.2% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 4.2% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Porvair is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Porvair's earnings potential next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Porvair going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.