Stock Analysis

Driver Group plc's (LON:DRV) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

AIM:DIAL
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There wouldn't be many who think Driver Group plc's (LON:DRV) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Construction industry in the United Kingdom is very similar. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Driver Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:DRV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 13th 2024

What Does Driver Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Driver Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Driver Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Driver Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Driver Group's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 5.4%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 20% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 0.9% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 6.6% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Driver Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Driver Group's P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

When you consider that Driver Group's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Driver Group (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Driver Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.