Renault Valuation

Is RNOP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RNOP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RNOP (€39.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€66.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RNOP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RNOP?

Key metric: As RNOP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RNOP. This is calculated by dividing RNOP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RNOP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.7x
Earnings€1.40b
Market Cap€10.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RNOP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RNOP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.1x
600418 Anhui Jianghuai Automobile GroupLtd
143.4x29.6%CN¥85.0b
PAH3 Porsche Automobil Holding
2.8x18.5%€10.6b
7202 Isuzu Motors
9.6x6.1%JP¥1.5t
7270 Subaru
4.6x-3.3%JP¥1.8t
RNOP Renault
7.7x26.5%€10.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RNOP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the peer average (40.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RNOP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies14PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RNOP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.7x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RNOP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RNOP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RNOP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RNOP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€39.92
€56.47
+41.5%
17.5%€85.00€41.00n/a20
Nov ’25€41.18
€56.89
+38.2%
17.1%€85.00€41.00n/a20
Oct ’25€37.70
€59.22
+57.1%
14.4%€85.00€45.00n/a20
Sep ’25€43.29
€58.62
+35.4%
11.6%€73.90€45.00n/a20
Aug ’25€43.59
€58.77
+34.8%
11.0%€73.90€48.00n/a20
Jul ’25€46.89
€59.17
+26.2%
11.3%€73.90€44.00n/a20
Jun ’25€52.72
€58.04
+10.1%
12.4%€74.70€44.00n/a19
May ’25€46.34
€55.67
+20.1%
16.7%€74.70€31.00n/a19
Apr ’25€46.21
€52.04
+12.6%
24.6%€88.00€31.00n/a19
Mar ’25€37.57
€51.29
+36.5%
24.8%€88.00€31.00n/a20
Feb ’25€34.23
€50.44
+47.4%
25.8%€88.00€31.00n/a20
Jan ’25n/a
€51.91
0%
25.2%€90.00€31.00n/a19
Dec ’24€35.77
€51.54
+44.1%
25.8%€90.00€31.00n/a19
Nov ’24€33.09
€51.75
+56.4%
25.2%€89.00€31.00€41.1819
Oct ’24€38.87
€51.98
+33.8%
24.9%€87.00€31.00€37.7019
Sep ’24€37.04
€51.38
+38.7%
24.1%€87.00€31.00€43.2919
Aug ’24€40.02
€51.38
+28.4%
23.3%€87.00€33.00€43.5919
Jul ’24€38.62
€49.96
+29.4%
25.1%€86.00€33.00€46.8919
Jun ’24€31.23
€48.28
+54.6%
23.6%€83.00€33.00€52.7218
May ’24€33.57
€49.00
+46.0%
22.9%€83.00€39.00€46.3417
Apr ’24€37.62
€49.39
+31.3%
21.7%€83.00€39.00€46.2118
Mar ’24€41.93
€48.75
+16.3%
21.8%€82.00€34.00€37.5718
Feb ’24€38.41
€45.42
+18.2%
23.7%€83.00€34.00€34.2318
Jan ’24€31.30
€42.89
+37.0%
27.7%€83.00€32.00n/a19
Dec ’23€34.66
€42.32
+22.1%
28.9%€83.00€28.00€35.7719
Nov ’23€32.05
€41.35
+29.0%
29.2%€83.00€28.00€33.0920

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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