Nissan Motor Co., Ltd.

TSE:7201 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥1.7t

Nissan Motor Valuation

Is 7201 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7201 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7201 (¥512.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥1160.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7201 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7201?

Key metric: As 7201 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7201. This is calculated by dividing 7201's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7201's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.5x
EarningsJP¥149.66b
Market CapJP¥1.74t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7201's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7201 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.6x
7202 Isuzu Motors
9.8x6.1%JP¥1.5t
7270 Subaru
5x-4.4%JP¥2.0t
7269 Suzuki Motor
9.4x1.4%JP¥3.4t
7211 Mitsubishi Motors
6.3x0.4%JP¥782.8b
7201 Nissan Motor
12.5x36.3%JP¥1.7t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7201 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the peer average (7.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7201's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7201 12.5xIndustry Avg. 18.9xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7201 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the Asian Auto industry average (18.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7201's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7201 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.5x
Fair PE Ratio18.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7201 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7201 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥512.50
JP¥410.71
-19.9%
30.7%JP¥700.00JP¥250.00n/a14
Dec ’25JP¥358.90
JP¥432.00
+20.4%
27.2%JP¥700.00JP¥250.00n/a15
Nov ’25JP¥402.20
JP¥486.00
+20.8%
36.7%JP¥1,010.00JP¥300.00n/a15
Oct ’25JP¥409.70
JP¥504.00
+23.0%
34.9%JP¥1,010.00JP¥330.00n/a15
Sep ’25JP¥425.50
JP¥533.13
+25.3%
32.1%JP¥1,010.00JP¥330.00n/a16
Aug ’25JP¥475.00
JP¥588.13
+23.8%
23.8%JP¥1,010.00JP¥410.00n/a16
Jul ’25JP¥552.40
JP¥635.63
+15.1%
22.8%JP¥1,090.00JP¥480.00n/a16
Jun ’25JP¥558.40
JP¥646.25
+15.7%
22.9%JP¥1,090.00JP¥480.00n/a16
May ’25JP¥579.30
JP¥671.88
+16.0%
32.3%JP¥1,440.00JP¥480.00n/a16
Apr ’25JP¥597.80
JP¥686.88
+14.9%
31.7%JP¥1,440.00JP¥480.00n/a16
Mar ’25JP¥594.00
JP¥710.00
+19.5%
29.7%JP¥1,440.00JP¥540.00n/a15
Feb ’25JP¥585.60
JP¥717.50
+22.5%
31.0%JP¥1,490.00JP¥480.00n/a16
Jan ’25JP¥554.20
JP¥737.50
+33.1%
30.1%JP¥1,490.00JP¥520.00n/a16
Dec ’24JP¥586.50
JP¥740.63
+26.3%
29.8%JP¥1,490.00JP¥520.00JP¥358.9016
Nov ’24JP¥596.50
JP¥731.25
+22.6%
30.5%JP¥1,490.00JP¥520.00JP¥402.2016
Oct ’24JP¥660.30
JP¥728.75
+10.4%
30.6%JP¥1,490.00JP¥520.00JP¥409.7016
Sep ’24JP¥617.50
JP¥718.75
+16.4%
31.8%JP¥1,490.00JP¥510.00JP¥425.5016
Aug ’24JP¥645.80
JP¥708.75
+9.7%
32.7%JP¥1,490.00JP¥510.00JP¥475.0016
Jul ’24JP¥588.20
JP¥660.63
+12.3%
35.6%JP¥1,490.00JP¥430.00JP¥552.4016
Jun ’24JP¥519.20
JP¥648.13
+24.8%
37.3%JP¥1,490.00JP¥410.00JP¥558.4016
May ’24JP¥503.10
JP¥635.63
+26.3%
37.0%JP¥1,450.00JP¥400.00JP¥579.3016
Apr ’24JP¥501.10
JP¥630.63
+25.8%
37.7%JP¥1,450.00JP¥400.00JP¥597.8016
Mar ’24JP¥535.60
JP¥631.25
+17.9%
37.5%JP¥1,450.00JP¥400.00JP¥594.0016
Feb ’24JP¥467.80
JP¥624.67
+33.5%
43.5%JP¥1,550.00JP¥420.00JP¥585.6015
Jan ’24JP¥418.10
JP¥661.88
+58.3%
39.0%JP¥1,550.00JP¥420.00JP¥554.2016
Dec ’23JP¥489.20
JP¥670.59
+37.1%
36.3%JP¥1,550.00JP¥420.00JP¥586.5017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 07:52
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/25 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. is covered by 43 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kei NihonyanagiBarclays
Koichi SugimotoBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Kei NihonyanagiBofA Global Research