Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc

LSE:AML Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£880.3m

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings Valuation

Is AML undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AML when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AML (£1.07) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£4.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AML is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AML?

Key metric: As AML is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AML. This is calculated by dividing AML's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AML's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
SalesUK£1.59b
Market CapUK£880.30m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AML's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AML vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.3x
TIFS TI Fluid Systems
0.3x2.5%UK£949.8m
DWL Dowlais Group
0.2x-0.6%UK£867.9m
ABDP AB Dynamics
4.1x7.5%UK£459.1m
000572 Haima AutomobileLtd
4.7xn/aCN¥8.1b
AML Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings
0.6x12.3%UK£880.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AML is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (2.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AML's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AML 0.6xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies5PS00.40.81.21.62+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AML is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the European Auto industry average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AML's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AML PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AML is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AML forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.07
UK£1.64
+53.8%
43.6%UK£3.63UK£1.10n/a10
Dec ’25UK£1.06
UK£1.64
+55.0%
43.5%UK£3.63UK£1.15n/a10
Nov ’25UK£1.16
UK£1.70
+46.0%
45.2%UK£3.63UK£1.00n/a10
Oct ’25UK£1.17
UK£2.26
+92.9%
38.4%UK£3.85UK£1.00n/a10
Sep ’25UK£1.49
UK£2.46
+65.7%
32.8%UK£3.89UK£1.55n/a10
Aug ’25UK£1.52
UK£2.47
+62.1%
32.9%UK£3.89UK£1.55n/a10
Jul ’25UK£1.44
UK£2.45
+70.1%
32.6%UK£3.85UK£1.50n/a10
Jun ’25UK£1.45
UK£2.48
+70.5%
32.5%UK£3.85UK£1.50n/a10
May ’25UK£1.38
UK£2.53
+83.1%
30.3%UK£3.85UK£1.58n/a10
Apr ’25UK£1.70
UK£2.77
+62.8%
25.8%UK£3.93UK£1.80n/a10
Mar ’25UK£1.77
UK£3.04
+72.1%
33.2%UK£5.50UK£1.80n/a10
Feb ’25UK£1.86
UK£3.31
+77.9%
27.2%UK£5.50UK£2.30n/a10
Jan ’25UK£2.26
UK£3.42
+51.6%
27.8%UK£5.50UK£2.30n/a10
Dec ’24UK£2.23
UK£3.55
+58.9%
25.7%UK£5.50UK£2.30UK£1.0610
Nov ’24UK£1.99
UK£3.77
+89.3%
22.3%UK£5.50UK£2.60UK£1.1610
Oct ’24UK£2.86
UK£4.04
+41.5%
18.9%UK£5.50UK£2.60UK£1.1710
Sep ’24UK£3.46
UK£4.04
+16.9%
18.9%UK£5.50UK£2.60UK£1.4910
Aug ’24UK£3.87
UK£3.67
-5.1%
22.4%UK£5.50UK£2.60UK£1.5210
Jul ’24UK£3.55
UK£2.89
-18.7%
19.6%UK£4.10UK£1.95UK£1.4410
Jun ’24UK£2.64
UK£2.37
-10.2%
23.7%UK£3.10UK£1.60UK£1.4510
May ’24UK£2.42
UK£2.03
-16.0%
25.1%UK£3.00UK£1.32UK£1.3810
Apr ’24UK£2.28
UK£1.92
-16.1%
24.9%UK£3.00UK£1.32UK£1.7010
Mar ’24UK£2.08
UK£1.61
-22.4%
14.1%UK£2.00UK£1.20UK£1.7710
Feb ’24UK£1.69
UK£2.08
+22.9%
79.8%UK£7.00UK£1.12UK£1.8610
Jan ’24UK£1.54
UK£2.76
+79.2%
98.3%UK£8.53UK£0.90UK£2.269
Dec ’23UK£1.36
UK£2.76
+103.0%
98.3%UK£8.53UK£0.90UK£2.239

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 02:11
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc is covered by 20 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Henning CosmanBarclays
Horst SchneiderBofA Global Research
Harald HendrikseCitigroup Inc