Volvo Car AB (publ.) Valuation

Is VOLCAR B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VOLCAR B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VOLCAR B (SEK34.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK68.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VOLCAR B is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VOLCAR B?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VOLCAR B key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA2.7x
PEG Ratio0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VOLCAR B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VOLCAR B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.2x
KABE B KABE Group AB (publ.)
13.1xn/akr3.0b
DOM Dometic Group
20.2x22.9%kr25.7b
7202 Isuzu Motors
7.6x2.0%JP¥1.4t
2238 Guangzhou Automobile Group
7.9x11.6%HK$80.3b
VOLCAR B Volvo Car AB (publ.)
8x24.3%kr101.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VOLCAR B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the peer average (12.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VOLCAR B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VOLCAR B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VOLCAR B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VOLCAR B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8x
Fair PE Ratio13.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VOLCAR B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VOLCAR B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr34.13
kr39.18
+14.8%
13.1%kr48.00kr32.00n/a11
Apr ’25kr40.58
kr37.82
-6.8%
14.0%kr48.00kr29.00n/a11
Mar ’25kr38.39
kr38.00
-1.0%
14.5%kr45.00kr29.00n/a10
Feb ’25kr34.54
kr37.22
+7.8%
17.9%kr50.00kr29.00n/a9
Jan ’25kr32.56
kr41.44
+27.3%
21.0%kr57.00kr32.00n/a9
Dec ’24kr34.13
kr43.11
+26.3%
20.4%kr57.00kr33.00n/a9
Nov ’24kr37.39
kr44.89
+20.1%
19.2%kr57.00kr33.00n/a9
Oct ’24kr44.44
kr46.44
+4.5%
16.6%kr57.00kr34.00n/a9
Sep ’24kr40.50
kr47.89
+18.2%
17.6%kr63.00kr34.00n/a9
Aug ’24kr50.80
kr47.44
-6.6%
18.2%kr63.00kr34.00n/a9
Jul ’24kr42.82
kr41.67
-2.7%
15.3%kr50.00kr31.00n/a9
Jun ’24kr37.79
kr41.67
+10.3%
15.3%kr50.00kr31.00n/a9
May ’24kr42.16
kr43.22
+2.5%
15.6%kr52.00kr31.00kr34.939
Apr ’24kr45.20
kr48.44
+7.2%
15.3%kr60.00kr36.00kr40.589
Mar ’24kr48.47
kr49.11
+1.3%
14.8%kr60.00kr38.00kr38.399
Feb ’24kr53.69
kr49.72
-7.4%
14.9%kr60.00kr38.00kr34.549
Jan ’24kr47.38
kr49.67
+4.8%
17.3%kr60.00kr35.00kr32.569
Dec ’23kr51.76
kr49.33
-4.7%
17.7%kr60.00kr35.00kr34.139
Nov ’23kr48.56
kr52.11
+7.3%
21.7%kr73.00kr35.00kr37.399
Oct ’23kr48.73
kr63.13
+29.5%
13.6%kr73.00kr48.00kr44.448
Sep ’23kr61.50
kr71.00
+15.4%
15.9%kr90.00kr54.00kr40.508
Aug ’23kr75.71
kr71.50
-5.6%
16.0%kr90.00kr54.00kr50.808
Jul ’23kr69.80
kr72.50
+3.9%
16.0%kr90.00kr56.00kr42.828
Jun ’23kr85.00
kr74.38
-12.5%
12.9%kr90.00kr59.00kr37.798
May ’23kr73.00
kr71.29
-2.3%
10.9%kr85.00kr59.00kr42.167

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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