Mazda Motor Corporation

TSE:7261 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥632.2b

Mazda Motor Valuation

Is 7261 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7261 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7261 (¥1003) is trading below our estimate of fair value (¥3292.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7261 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7261?

Key metric: As 7261 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7261. This is calculated by dividing 7261's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7261's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.7x
EarningsJP¥134.90b
Market CapJP¥632.24b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7261's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7261 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.2x
7211 Mitsubishi Motors
5.2x2.0%JP¥653.3b
7201 Nissan Motor
9.9x25.4%JP¥1.5t
7202 Isuzu Motors
9.3x6.1%JP¥1.5t
7270 Subaru
4.5x-3.3%JP¥1.8t
7261 Mazda Motor
4.7x8.9%JP¥632.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7261 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the peer average (7.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7261's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Auto Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
7261 4.7xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7261 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the Asian Auto industry average (17.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7261's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7261 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.7x
Fair PE Ratio9.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7261 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7261 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥1,003.00
JP¥1,453.57
+44.9%
25.6%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,000.00n/a14
Nov ’25JP¥1,067.50
JP¥1,528.57
+43.2%
28.9%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,000.00n/a14
Oct ’25JP¥1,097.00
JP¥1,546.67
+41.0%
27.9%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,000.00n/a15
Sep ’25JP¥1,222.00
JP¥1,682.14
+37.7%
26.6%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,000.00n/a14
Aug ’25JP¥1,302.00
JP¥1,885.71
+44.8%
18.4%JP¥2,550.00JP¥1,400.00n/a14
Jul ’25JP¥1,562.50
JP¥1,910.71
+22.3%
17.4%JP¥2,550.00JP¥1,400.00n/a14
Jun ’25JP¥1,657.50
JP¥1,967.86
+18.7%
15.1%JP¥2,550.00JP¥1,600.00n/a14
May ’25JP¥1,788.00
JP¥1,939.29
+8.5%
13.4%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,600.00n/a14
Apr ’25JP¥1,722.50
JP¥1,910.71
+10.9%
14.4%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,600.00n/a14
Mar ’25JP¥1,763.00
JP¥1,860.00
+5.5%
16.7%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,350.00n/a15
Feb ’25JP¥1,802.00
JP¥1,816.67
+0.8%
17.6%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,350.00n/a15
Jan ’25JP¥1,523.50
JP¥1,820.00
+19.5%
17.5%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,350.00n/a15
Dec ’24JP¥1,601.50
JP¥1,798.00
+12.3%
18.3%JP¥2,600.00JP¥1,350.00n/a15
Nov ’24JP¥1,498.00
JP¥1,717.33
+14.6%
17.9%JP¥2,350.00JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,067.5015
Oct ’24JP¥1,696.50
JP¥1,640.67
-3.3%
15.1%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,350.00JP¥1,097.0015
Sep ’24JP¥1,532.50
JP¥1,580.67
+3.1%
16.5%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,300.00JP¥1,222.0015
Aug ’24JP¥1,431.50
JP¥1,494.00
+4.4%
17.5%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,302.0015
Jul ’24JP¥1,393.50
JP¥1,430.67
+2.7%
19.0%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,200.00JP¥1,562.5015
Jun ’24JP¥1,162.00
JP¥1,389.33
+19.6%
19.1%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,150.00JP¥1,657.5015
May ’24JP¥1,247.00
JP¥1,259.29
+1.0%
11.6%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,050.00JP¥1,788.0014
Apr ’24JP¥1,225.00
JP¥1,255.71
+2.5%
10.3%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,050.00JP¥1,722.5014
Mar ’24JP¥1,258.00
JP¥1,224.62
-2.7%
12.4%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,030.00JP¥1,763.0013
Feb ’24JP¥1,065.00
JP¥1,214.62
+14.0%
12.6%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,030.00JP¥1,802.0013
Jan ’24JP¥1,005.00
JP¥1,270.71
+26.4%
11.2%JP¥1,500.00JP¥1,030.00JP¥1,523.5014
Dec ’23JP¥1,072.00
JP¥1,304.67
+21.7%
10.6%JP¥1,510.00JP¥1,030.00JP¥1,601.5015
Nov ’23JP¥1,003.00
JP¥1,271.25
+26.7%
12.4%JP¥1,600.00JP¥1,030.00JP¥1,498.0016

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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