Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Veolia Environnement (EPA:VIE) Is Using Debt Extensively

ENXTPA:VIE
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Veolia Environnement SA (EPA:VIE) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Veolia Environnement

How Much Debt Does Veolia Environnement Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Veolia Environnement had €27.2b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €9.66b, its net debt is less, at about €17.6b.

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ENXTPA:VIE Debt to Equity History September 8th 2024

How Strong Is Veolia Environnement's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Veolia Environnement had liabilities of €30.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €26.6b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €9.66b and €14.5b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €32.9b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €21.2b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Veolia Environnement would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Veolia Environnement's debt is 3.4 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.1 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Fortunately, Veolia Environnement grew its EBIT by 9.7% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Veolia Environnement's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Veolia Environnement recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Veolia Environnement's level of total liabilities was disappointing. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. It's also worth noting that Veolia Environnement is in the Integrated Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Veolia Environnement's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Veolia Environnement (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.