Stock Analysis

Financière de l'Odet SA (EPA:ODET) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

ENXTPA:ODET
Source: Shutterstock

Financière de l'Odet's (EPA:ODET) stock is up by a considerable 13% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Financière de l'Odet's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Financière de l'Odet

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How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Financière de l'Odet is:

6.8% = €1.6b ÷ €24b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every €1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of €0.07.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Financière de l'Odet's Earnings Growth And 6.8% ROE

When you first look at it, Financière de l'Odet's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.0%. But Financière de l'Odet saw a five year net income decline of 16% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

So, as a next step, we compared Financière de l'Odet's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 8.7% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
ENXTPA:ODET Past Earnings Growth December 23rd 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Financière de l'Odet is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Financière de l'Odet Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

When we piece together Financière de l'Odet's low three-year median payout ratio of 2.3% (where it is retaining 98% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Additionally, Financière de l'Odet has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Financière de l'Odet. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Financière de l'Odet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


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About ENXTPA:ODET

Compagnie de l'Odet

Operates transportation and logistics, communication, and industry business in France, Africa, the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, and other European countries.

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.

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