Stock Analysis

Is It Time To Consider Buying ID Logistics Group SA (EPA:IDL)?

ENXTPA:IDL
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ID Logistics Group SA (EPA:IDL), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the ENXTPA. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine ID Logistics Group’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

Our analysis indicates that IDL is potentially undervalued!

Is ID Logistics Group Still Cheap?

According to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that ID Logistics Group’s ratio of 40.2x is above its peer average of 10.25x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Logistics industry. In addition to this, it seems like ID Logistics Group’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What kind of growth will ID Logistics Group generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTPA:IDL Earnings and Revenue Growth November 27th 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. ID Logistics Group's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 93%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in IDL’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe IDL should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on IDL for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for IDL, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about ID Logistics Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for ID Logistics Group and you'll want to know about it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.