Stock Analysis

Arkema (EPA:AKE) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Arkema S.A. (EPA:AKE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Arkema

What Is Arkema's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, Arkema had €3.20b of debt, up from €2.84b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of €1.28b, its net debt is less, at about €1.92b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:AKE Debt to Equity History February 13th 2023

A Look At Arkema's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Arkema had liabilities of €2.45b due within 12 months and liabilities of €3.89b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €1.28b in cash and €2.03b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €3.03b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Arkema is worth €6.82b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Arkema's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.5 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 18.8 times, makes us even more comfortable. In fact Arkema's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 57% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Arkema can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Arkema recorded free cash flow worth 51% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Neither Arkema's ability to grow its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Arkema is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Arkema (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

The New Payments ETF Is Live on NASDAQ:

Money is moving to real-time rails, and a newly listed ETF now gives investors direct exposure. Fast settlement. Institutional custody. Simple access.

Explore how this launch could reshape portfolios

Sponsored Content

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ENXTPA:AKE

Arkema

Manufactures and sells specialty materials in Europe, the United States, Canada, Mexico, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet average dividend payer.

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25241.5% overvalued
20 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.8% undervalued
19 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.647.1% overvalued
6 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

YI
AMZN logo
yiannisz on Amazon.com ·

Amazon: Why the World’s Biggest Platform Still Runs on Invisible Economics

Fair Value:US$231.383.8% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
RUN logo
yiannisz on Sunrun ·

Sunrun Stock: When the Energy Transition Collides With the Cost of Capital

Fair Value:US$19.098.1% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
CRM logo
yiannisz on Salesforce ·

Salesforce Stock: AI-Fueled Growth Is Real — But Can Margins Stay This Strong?

Fair Value:US$268.765.2% undervalued
3 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
122 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8686.1% undervalued
81 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3929.0% undervalued
973 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
26 users have liked this narrative