Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think LNA Santé's (EPA:LNA) Statutory Earnings Might Be Conservative

ENXTPA:LNA
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Many investors consider it preferable to invest in profitable companies over unprofitable ones, because profitability suggests a business is sustainable. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. This article will consider whether LNA Santé's (EPA:LNA) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

We like the fact that LNA Santé made a profit of €12.5m on its revenue of €550.7m, in the last year. While it managed to grow its revenue over the last three years, its profit has moved in the other direction, as you can see in the chart below.

Check out our latest analysis for LNA Santé

earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTPA:LNA Earnings and Revenue History November 20th 2020

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. Today, we'll discuss LNA Santé's free cashflow relative to its earnings, and consider what that tells us about the company. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Zooming In On LNA Santé's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to June 2020, LNA Santé had an accrual ratio of -0.26. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of €104m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of €12.5m. LNA Santé's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Our Take On LNA Santé's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, LNA Santé's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that LNA Santé's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into LNA Santé, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for LNA Santé (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of LNA Santé's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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