Stock Analysis

Cegedim's (EPA:CGM) Stock Price Has Reduced 26% In The Past Three Years

ENXTPA:CGM
Source: Shutterstock

For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Cegedim SA (EPA:CGM) shareholders, since the share price is down 26% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 16%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 13% in the last 90 days.

View our latest analysis for Cegedim

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During five years of share price growth, Cegedim moved from a loss to profitability. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

Revenue is actually up 4.3% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Cegedim more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTPA:CGM Earnings and Revenue Growth November 23rd 2020

We know that Cegedim has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 0.6% in the twelve months, Cegedim shareholders did even worse, losing 18%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Cegedim better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Cegedim is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course Cegedim may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on FR exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ENXTPA:CGM

Cegedim

Operates as a technology and services company in the field of digital data flow management for healthcare ecosystem and B2B, and business software publisher for healthcare and insurance professionals in France, other European countries, and internationally.

Fair value with moderate growth potential.