Stock Analysis

Is Safran SA (EPA:SAF) Potentially Undervalued?

ENXTPA:SAF
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Let's talk about the popular Safran SA (EPA:SAF). The company's shares saw a decent share price growth of 16% on the ENXTPA over the last few months. The company is now trading at yearly-high levels following the recent surge in its share price. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Safran’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Safran

What Is Safran Worth?

According to our valuation model, Safran seems to be fairly priced at around 11% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Safran today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is €188.91, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Safran’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Safran look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTPA:SAF Earnings and Revenue Growth January 16th 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a relatively muted profit growth of 1.9% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for Safran, at least in the short term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in SAF’s future outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on SAF, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Diving deeper into the forecasts for Safran mentioned earlier will help you understand how analysts view the stock going forward. So feel free to check out our free graph representing analyst forecasts.

If you are no longer interested in Safran, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.