Stock Analysis

Airbus (ENXTPA:AIR) Is Down 5.6% After Global A320 Recall Over Solar Radiation Software Risk – What's Changed

  • In November 2025, Airbus undertook an unprecedented global recall and urgent software updates for around 6,000 A320-family aircraft after discovering that intense solar radiation could disrupt flight control data, resulting in worldwide operational disruptions and mandatory regulatory action.
  • The rapid pace of fixes highlights the aviation sector’s vulnerability to emerging technological and environmental risks, as well as the critical role of real-time software management in modern aircraft safety.
  • We'll assess how the global safety recall and grounding of A320 jets could affect Airbus’s future earnings outlook and operational execution.

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Airbus Investment Narrative Recap

Airbus’s investment appeal centers on its ability to capitalize on rising global air travel demand and fleet renewal cycles. The recent worldwide A320 recall highlights the aviation sector’s sensitivity to technology and regulatory shocks, but does not appear to structurally alter the most important short-term catalyst, ramping up production to satisfy a record order book. The biggest risk remains persistent vulnerabilities across the supply chain and critical suppliers, which could delay deliveries or hinder margin improvement efforts if left unresolved. Of the company’s recent announcements, the revised delivery agreement with Wizz Air stands out as most relevant to the recall event. Order deferrals and fleet mix adjustments by key clients reinforce the need for operational reliability and supplier coordination at a time when rapid, unforeseen technical issues can disrupt both Airbus’s delivery schedule and its customers’ confidence. Yet, investors should also be aware that ongoing supply chain volatility remains a significant watchpoint for Airbus...

Read the full narrative on Airbus (it's free!)

Airbus' narrative projects €98.7 billion revenue and €7.9 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 12.1% yearly revenue growth and a €3.0 billion earnings increase from €4.9 billion today.

Uncover how Airbus' forecasts yield a €224.40 fair value, a 18% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

ENXTPA:AIR Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
ENXTPA:AIR Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025

Twenty-one private investors in the Simply Wall St Community estimated Airbus’s fair value between €145 and €313 per share, highlighting divergent views. Alongside these varied outlooks, persistent supply chain bottlenecks may hold important implications for Airbus’s future earnings trajectory.

Explore 21 other fair value estimates on Airbus - why the stock might be worth as much as 64% more than the current price!

Build Your Own Airbus Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Airbus research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Airbus research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Airbus' overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ENXTPA:AIR

Airbus

Engages in the design, manufacture, and delivery of aeronautics and aerospace products, services, and solutions worldwide.

Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet.

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