Société Générale Société anonyme

ENXTPA:GLE Stock Report

Market Cap: €20.4b

Société Générale Société anonyme Valuation

Is GLE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GLE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GLE (€25.39) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€77.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GLE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GLE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GLE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GLE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GLE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9x
ACA Crédit Agricole
7.5x0.8%€44.0b
BNP BNP Paribas
8.7x8.0%€76.5b
MLCFM CFM Indosuez Wealth Management
14.3xn/a€618.8m
600016 China Minsheng Banking
5.6x8.1%CN¥162.2b
GLE Société Générale Société anonyme
11.7x21.6%€20.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GLE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GLE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GLE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GLE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GLE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.7x
Fair PE Ratio10.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GLE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GLE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€25.39
€30.04
+18.3%
12.8%€40.20€23.00n/a21
Apr ’25€24.81
€29.50
+18.9%
13.6%€40.20€23.00n/a21
Mar ’25€22.74
€29.64
+30.3%
13.9%€40.20€23.00n/a21
Feb ’25€23.00
€30.07
+30.7%
13.9%€40.20€21.90n/a21
Jan ’25€24.03
€30.06
+25.1%
14.0%€40.20€22.25n/a21
Dec ’24€22.90
€29.99
+31.0%
14.1%€40.20€22.25n/a21
Nov ’24€21.22
€31.07
+46.4%
10.9%€40.20€26.00n/a20
Oct ’24€23.05
€31.37
+36.1%
11.0%€40.20€25.96n/a20
Sep ’24€26.28
€35.05
+33.4%
12.6%€46.00€25.50n/a21
Aug ’24€24.27
€33.79
+39.3%
14.2%€43.00€25.50n/a21
Jul ’24€23.80
€33.35
+40.1%
14.4%€43.00€25.50n/a20
Jun ’24€21.69
€33.01
+52.2%
12.7%€40.20€25.50n/a21
May ’24€22.03
€33.01
+49.9%
12.2%€40.20€25.50n/a21
Apr ’24€20.79
€33.18
+59.6%
11.9%€40.20€25.50€24.8121
Mar ’24€26.56
€32.84
+23.7%
12.9%€40.20€25.50€22.7421
Feb ’24€27.38
€32.63
+19.2%
13.3%€40.20€25.50€23.0021
Jan ’24€23.48
€33.19
+41.4%
14.8%€41.00€25.00€24.0320
Dec ’23€23.37
€33.59
+43.8%
14.0%€41.00€25.00€22.9020
Nov ’23€23.46
€32.74
+39.6%
17.5%€42.30€17.15€21.2222
Oct ’23€20.42
€33.95
+66.3%
13.2%€42.30€25.00€23.0521
Sep ’23€22.06
€33.99
+54.1%
13.6%€42.30€25.00€26.2821
Aug ’23€21.64
€32.67
+51.0%
14.5%€42.30€25.00€24.2721
Jul ’23€20.81
€33.35
+60.3%
14.6%€42.30€25.00€23.8020
Jun ’23€25.06
€32.57
+30.0%
15.6%€42.30€25.00€21.6920
May ’23€23.17
€32.96
+42.3%
19.0%€50.00€25.00€22.0320
Apr ’23€24.40
€32.78
+34.3%
16.4%€41.20€25.00€20.7919

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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