Crédit Agricole Valuation

Is ACA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ACA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ACA (€14.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€28.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ACA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ACA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ACA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio9.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ACA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ACA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.3x
BNP BNP Paribas
8.7x8.3%€76.4b
GLE Société Générale Société anonyme
11.7x21.6%€20.3b
MLCFM CFM Indosuez Wealth Management
14.3xn/a€618.8m
SBER Sberbank of Russia
2.6x8.2%₽3.0t
ACA Crédit Agricole
7.5x0.8%€44.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ACA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (11.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ACA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a0.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ACA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ACA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ACA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.5x
Fair PE Ratio7.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ACA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ACA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€14.55
€14.40
-1.0%
11.4%€17.30€10.50n/a20
Apr ’25€13.82
€14.29
+3.4%
12.2%€17.30€10.50n/a20
Mar ’25€12.60
€14.08
+11.7%
11.5%€17.30€10.50n/a20
Feb ’25€12.94
€14.38
+11.2%
9.3%€17.30€12.20n/a20
Jan ’25€12.85
€13.91
+8.2%
9.3%€17.30€12.00n/a20
Dec ’24€12.07
€13.62
+12.9%
9.5%€17.30€12.00n/a20
Nov ’24€11.42
€13.37
+17.1%
9.8%€17.30€11.50n/a19
Oct ’24€11.69
€13.36
+14.2%
10.0%€17.30€11.50n/a19
Sep ’24€11.65
€13.43
+15.3%
9.4%€17.30€11.70n/a20
Aug ’24€11.16
€12.96
+16.1%
10.9%€17.30€11.30n/a20
Jul ’24€10.87
€12.98
+19.4%
11.1%€17.30€11.30n/a19
Jun ’24€10.69
€12.87
+20.4%
11.6%€17.30€11.00n/a18
May ’24€11.08
€12.61
+13.8%
12.2%€17.30€10.50€14.5518
Apr ’24€10.40
€12.16
+16.9%
18.1%€17.30€5.55€13.8219
Mar ’24€11.39
€12.03
+5.7%
18.8%€17.30€5.55€12.6019
Feb ’24€11.07
€11.44
+3.3%
19.6%€17.30€5.55€12.9419
Jan ’24€9.83
€11.05
+12.4%
16.6%€14.80€5.55€12.8518
Dec ’23€9.50
€11.00
+15.8%
16.6%€14.80€5.55€12.0718
Nov ’23€9.30
€11.60
+24.7%
17.4%€15.00€5.55€11.4220
Oct ’23€8.36
€11.75
+40.5%
17.2%€15.00€5.55€11.6920
Sep ’23€9.02
€11.88
+31.6%
17.5%€15.00€5.55€11.6520
Aug ’23€8.91
€11.81
+32.6%
18.2%€14.90€5.55€11.1619
Jul ’23€8.73
€12.41
+42.2%
17.3%€17.54€8.13€10.8720
Jun ’23€10.13
€12.78
+26.1%
18.8%€17.54€6.12€10.6919
May ’23€10.38
€13.61
+31.2%
14.0%€17.54€11.00€11.0819

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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