Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited

SGX:O39 Stock Report

Market Cap: S$64.3b

Oversea-Chinese Banking Valuation

Is O39 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of O39 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: O39 (SGD14.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SGD27.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: O39 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for O39?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

O39 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does O39's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for O39 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.5x
U11 United Overseas Bank
9.2x3.9%S$51.3b
D05 DBS Group Holdings
10.2x1.8%S$101.4b
BBRI Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero)
11.8x9.6%Rp717.8t
ACA Crédit Agricole
6.8x-2.9%€44.7b
O39 Oversea-Chinese Banking
9.2x1.5%S$64.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: O39 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (9.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does O39's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: O39 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the Asian Banks industry average (9.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is O39's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

O39 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.2x
Fair PE Ratio9.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: O39 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst O39 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentS$14.28
S$14.56
+2.0%
8.8%S$18.15S$12.50n/a19
Apr ’25S$13.56
S$14.43
+6.4%
7.8%S$17.22S$12.50n/a19
Mar ’25S$12.99
S$14.30
+10.1%
9.0%S$17.22S$11.50n/a19
Feb ’25S$12.84
S$14.28
+11.2%
8.9%S$17.00S$11.50n/a19
Jan ’25S$13.00
S$14.35
+10.4%
9.1%S$17.35S$11.50n/a19
Dec ’24S$12.64
S$14.39
+13.9%
9.0%S$17.35S$11.50n/a19
Nov ’24S$12.72
S$14.35
+12.8%
10.0%S$17.65S$11.50n/a19
Oct ’24S$12.81
S$14.34
+12.0%
10.3%S$18.22S$11.50n/a19
Sep ’24S$12.55
S$14.30
+13.9%
10.3%S$18.22S$11.50n/a19
Aug ’24S$13.32
S$13.93
+4.6%
10.3%S$17.50S$11.50n/a19
Jul ’24S$12.28
S$14.05
+14.4%
10.0%S$17.32S$11.50n/a20
Jun ’24S$12.23
S$14.00
+14.4%
10.1%S$17.32S$11.50n/a20
May ’24S$12.58
S$14.00
+11.3%
10.0%S$16.80S$11.50S$14.2520
Apr ’24S$12.37
S$14.19
+14.7%
9.3%S$16.92S$11.50S$13.5620
Mar ’24S$12.53
S$14.48
+15.5%
8.9%S$18.25S$12.00S$12.9920
Feb ’24S$12.98
S$14.53
+11.9%
9.4%S$17.75S$12.00S$12.8420
Jan ’24S$12.18
S$14.46
+18.7%
10.5%S$18.28S$12.00S$13.0019
Dec ’23S$12.35
S$14.46
+17.1%
10.5%S$18.28S$12.00S$12.6419
Nov ’23S$12.17
S$14.12
+16.0%
8.6%S$16.82S$12.00S$12.7220
Oct ’23S$11.83
S$14.07
+18.9%
7.5%S$16.18S$12.00S$12.8120
Sep ’23S$12.11
S$14.16
+17.0%
6.6%S$16.18S$12.70S$12.5520
Aug ’23S$11.74
S$13.82
+17.7%
5.9%S$16.00S$12.30S$13.3221
Jul ’23S$11.30
S$13.94
+23.3%
5.7%S$16.00S$12.30S$12.2821
Jun ’23S$11.91
S$13.96
+17.2%
5.8%S$16.00S$12.30S$12.2321
May ’23S$12.39
S$14.12
+14.0%
6.1%S$16.00S$12.50S$12.5821

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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