Stock Analysis

Fortum Oyj (HEL:FORTUM) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of €0.57

HLSE:FORTUM
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The board of Fortum Oyj (HEL:FORTUM) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.57 per share on the 9th of October. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 9.5%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Fortum Oyj

Fortum Oyj Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. The last dividend was quite comfortably covered by Fortum Oyj's earnings, but it was a bit tighter on the cash flow front. The business is earning enough to make the dividend feasible, but the cash payout ratio of 83% indicates it is more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 47.7%. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 130%, which is definitely a bit high to be sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
HLSE:FORTUM Historic Dividend April 25th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from €1.10 total annually to €1.15. Dividend payments have grown at less than 1% a year over this period. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that Fortum Oyj has been growing its earnings per share at 12% a year over the past five years. Earnings are on the uptrend, and it is only paying a small portion of those earnings to shareholders.

Our Thoughts On Fortum Oyj's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Fortum Oyj's payments are rock solid. The company hasn't been paying a very consistent dividend over time, despite only paying out a small portion of earnings. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Fortum Oyj (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Fortum Oyj not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.