Stock Analysis

Finnair Oyj's (HEL:FIA1S) market cap dropped €68m last week; State or government bore the brunt

HLSE:FIA1S
Source: Shutterstock

Key Insights

  • Finnair Oyj's significant state or government ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • 56% of the company is held by a single shareholder (Finland)
  • Analyst forecasts along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business

Every investor in Finnair Oyj (HEL:FIA1S) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. We can see that state or government own the lion's share in the company with 56% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

As a result, state or government as a group endured the highest losses last week after market cap fell by €68m.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Finnair Oyj.

See our latest analysis for Finnair Oyj

ownership-breakdown
HLSE:FIA1S Ownership Breakdown March 20th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Finnair Oyj?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

We can see that Finnair Oyj does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Finnair Oyj's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
HLSE:FIA1S Earnings and Revenue Growth March 20th 2023

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Finnair Oyj. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Finland with 56% of shares outstanding. With such a huge stake in the ownership, we infer that they have significant control of the future of the company. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 2.2% and 1.4% of the stock.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of Finnair Oyj

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Finnair Oyj in their own names. It appears that the board holds about €2.0m worth of stock. This compares to a market capitalization of €698m. Many investors in smaller companies prefer to see the board more heavily invested. You can click here to see if those insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 36% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Finnair Oyj. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Be aware that Finnair Oyj is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.