Stock Analysis

Finnair Oyj's (HEL:FIA1S) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't

HLSE:FIA1S
Source: Shutterstock

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.4x in the Airlines industry in Finland, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Finnair Oyj's (HEL:FIA1S) P/S ratio of 0.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Finnair Oyj

ps-multiple-vs-industry
HLSE:FIA1S Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 20th 2024

What Does Finnair Oyj's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Finnair Oyj could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Finnair Oyj's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Finnair Oyj's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Finnair Oyj's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, even though the last 12 month performance was only fair. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 3.2% per annum as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 7.8% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Finnair Oyj's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Finnair Oyj's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Given that Finnair Oyj's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Having said that, be aware Finnair Oyj is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those shouldn't be ignored.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.