Stock Analysis

Does Heeros Oyj (HEL:HEEROS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

HLSE:HEEROS
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Heeros Oyj (HEL:HEEROS) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Heeros Oyj

What Is Heeros Oyj's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Heeros Oyj had €2.76m of debt, an increase on €2.54m, over one year. However, it does have €205.9k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €2.55m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:HEEROS Debt to Equity History June 8th 2023

A Look At Heeros Oyj's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Heeros Oyj had liabilities of €3.05m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €1.88m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €205.9k as well as receivables valued at €1.13m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €3.59m.

Since publicly traded Heeros Oyj shares are worth a total of €22.5m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Heeros Oyj has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.7 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 3.0 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Worse, Heeros Oyj's EBIT was down 55% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Heeros Oyj's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Heeros Oyj produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 73% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

While Heeros Oyj's net debt to EBITDA makes us cautious about it, its track record of (not) growing its EBIT is no better. But at least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a gleaming silver lining to those clouds. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Heeros Oyj is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Heeros Oyj (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Heeros Oyj might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.