Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj (HEL:WUF1V) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj had debt of €12.9m at the end of March 2022, a reduction from €15.0m over a year. However, it does have €982.0k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €11.9m.
How Strong Is Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj had liabilities of €22.7m due within a year, and liabilities of €9.72m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €982.0k and €17.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €14.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj is worth €25.0m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj's net debt of 2.1 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 8.9 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. One way Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 18%, as it did over the last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 100% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Our View
Happily, Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About HLSE:WUF1V
Wulff-Yhtiöt Oyj
Provides workplace products, IT supplies, ergonomics, printing, international exhibition, and event services in Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Estonia, other European countries, and internationally.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.