Stock Analysis

Is Stockmann Oyj Abp (HEL:STOCKA) A Risky Investment?

HLSE:LINDEX
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Stockmann Oyj Abp (HEL:STOCKA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Stockmann Oyj Abp

How Much Debt Does Stockmann Oyj Abp Carry?

As you can see below, Stockmann Oyj Abp had €496.0m of debt, at September 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have €169.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €326.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:STOCKA Debt to Equity History December 28th 2021

How Strong Is Stockmann Oyj Abp's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Stockmann Oyj Abp had liabilities of €784.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €387.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €169.8m and €48.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €953.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €337.4m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Stockmann Oyj Abp would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 1.4 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.5 hit our confidence in Stockmann Oyj Abp like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Stockmann Oyj Abp actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 202%, over the last 12 months. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Stockmann Oyj Abp will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Stockmann Oyj Abp actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about Stockmann Oyj Abp's difficulty level of total liabilities, but we've got positives to focus on, too. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Stockmann Oyj Abp is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Stockmann Oyj Abp is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are significant...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About HLSE:LINDEX

Lindex Group Oyj

Engages in the retailing business in Finland and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.

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