Stock Analysis

Here's Why Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj (HEL:OVARO) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

HLSE:OVARO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj (HEL:OVARO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj

How Much Debt Does Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj Carry?

As you can see below, Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj had €31.0m of debt at September 2021, down from €46.6m a year prior. On the flip side, it has €10.9m in cash leading to net debt of about €20.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:OVARO Debt to Equity History January 21st 2022

How Strong Is Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj had liabilities of €30.8m due within a year, and liabilities of €13.8m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €10.9m in cash and €572.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €33.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's €30.8m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (8.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.6 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj saw its EBIT tank 25% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj created free cash flow amounting to 7.8% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its level of total liabilities fails to inspire much confidence. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Ovaro Kiinteistösijoitus Oyj is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.