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UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for UPM-Kymmene Oyj
How Much Debt Does UPM-Kymmene Oyj Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 UPM-Kymmene Oyj had €2.62b of debt, an increase on €1.30b, over one year. On the flip side, it has €1.63b in cash leading to net debt of about €990.0m.
How Strong Is UPM-Kymmene Oyj's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that UPM-Kymmene Oyj had liabilities of €2.02b due within a year, and liabilities of €4.06b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €1.63b in cash and €1.92b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €2.53b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given UPM-Kymmene Oyj has a humongous market capitalization of €16.3b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
UPM-Kymmene Oyj has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.70. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 51.7 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. UPM-Kymmene Oyj's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if UPM-Kymmene Oyj can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, UPM-Kymmene Oyj recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Happily, UPM-Kymmene Oyj's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that UPM-Kymmene Oyj takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that UPM-Kymmene Oyj is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About HLSE:UPM
UPM-Kymmene Oyj
Engages in the forest-based bioindustry in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet average dividend payer.
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