UPM Stock Overview
UPM-Kymmene Oyj engages in the forest-based bio industry.
UPM-Kymmene Oyj Competitors
Price History & Performance
|Historical stock prices|
|Current Share Price||€33.40|
|52 Week High||€35.68|
|52 Week Low||€24.85|
|1 Month Change||16.42%|
|3 Month Change||5.43%|
|1 Year Change||-4.71%|
|3 Year Change||44.15%|
|5 Year Change||48.51%|
|Change since IPO||331.04%|
Recent News & Updates
Here's What To Make Of UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Decelerating Rates Of Return
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...
UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 60% Above Its Share Price
Does the June share price for UPM-Kymmene Oyj ( HEL:UPM ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will estimate the...
|UPM||FI Forestry||FI Market|
Return vs Industry: UPM exceeded the Finnish Forestry industry which returned -6.1% over the past year.
Return vs Market: UPM exceeded the Finnish Market which returned -18.9% over the past year.
|UPM Average Weekly Movement||4.0%|
|Forestry Industry Average Movement||5.4%|
|Market Average Movement||5.0%|
|10% most volatile stocks in FI Market||8.8%|
|10% least volatile stocks in FI Market||3.3%|
Stable Share Price: UPM is less volatile than 75% of Finnish stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 4% a week.
Volatility Over Time: UPM's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
UPM-Kymmene Oyj engages in the forest-based bio industry. It operates through UPM Biorefining, UPM Energy, UPM Raflatac, UPM Specialty Papers, UPM Communication Papers, UPM Plywood, and Other operations segments. The company provides softwood, birch, and eucalyptus pulp for tissue, specialty, and graphic papers and packaging; sawn timber for joinery, packaging, furniture, planning, and construction industries; and wood-based renewable diesel and renewable naphtha for the petrochemical industry.
UPM-Kymmene Oyj Fundamentals Summary
|UPM fundamental statistics|
Is UPM overvalued?See Fair Value and valuation analysis
Earnings & Revenue
|UPM income statement (TTM)|
|Cost of Revenue||€8.61b|
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2022
Next Earnings Date
Oct 25, 2022
|Earnings per share (EPS)||2.32|
|Net Profit Margin||12.07%|
How did UPM perform over the long term?See historical performance and comparison
3.9%Current Dividend Yield
Is UPM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score 3/6
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UPM?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
|What is UPM's n/a Ratio?|
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does UPM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
|UPM PE Ratio vs Peers|
|Company||PE||Estimated Growth||Market Cap|
STERV Stora Enso Oyj
METSB Metsä Board Oyj
HUH1V Huhtamäki Oyj
KEMIRA Kemira Oyj
UPM UPM-Kymmene Oyj
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UPM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the peer average (12.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does UPM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Forestry Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UPM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the European Forestry industry average (9x)
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is UPM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
|Current PE Ratio||14.4x|
|Fair PE Ratio||16.4x|
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UPM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x).
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of UPM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: UPM (€33.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€47.57)
Significantly Below Fair Value: UPM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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How is UPM-Kymmene Oyj forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 12 analysts?
Future Growth Score2/6
Future Growth Score 2/6
Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Forecasted annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: UPM's forecast earnings growth (7.7% per year) is above the savings rate (0.2%).
Earnings vs Market: UPM's earnings (7.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Finnish market (7.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: UPM's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: UPM's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Finnish market (1.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: UPM's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: UPM's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.2%).
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How has UPM-Kymmene Oyj performed over the past 5 years?
Past Performance Score2/6
Past Performance Score 2/6
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings vs Industry
Historical annual earnings growth
Earnings and Revenue History
Quality Earnings: UPM has a high level of non-cash earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: UPM's current net profit margins (12.1%) are higher than last year (8.3%).
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: UPM's earnings have declined by 2% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: UPM's earnings growth over the past year (69.5%) exceeds its 5-year average (-2% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: UPM earnings growth over the past year (69.5%) underperformed the Forestry industry 86.6%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: UPM's Return on Equity (11.2%) is considered low.
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How is UPM-Kymmene Oyj's financial position?
Financial Health Score4/6
Financial Health Score 4/6
Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Financial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: UPM's short term assets (€5.5B) exceed its short term liabilities (€2.8B).
Long Term Liabilities: UPM's short term assets (€5.5B) exceed its long term liabilities (€5.3B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: UPM's net debt to equity ratio (30.1%) is considered satisfactory.
Reducing Debt: UPM's debt to equity ratio has increased from 22% to 38.4% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: UPM's operating cash flow is negative, therefore debt is not well covered.
Interest Coverage: UPM's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (81.9x coverage).
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What is UPM-Kymmene Oyj current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?
Dividend Score 4/6
Cash Flow Coverage
Current Dividend Yield
Dividend Yield vs Market
Notable Dividend: UPM's dividend (3.89%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Finnish market (2.39%).
High Dividend: UPM's dividend (3.89%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Finnish market (4.75%).
Stability and Growth of Payments
Stable Dividend: UPM's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: UPM's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its reasonable payout ratio (56%), UPM's dividend payments are covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: UPM is paying a dividend but the company has no free cash flows.
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How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?
Average management tenure
UPM-Kymmene Oyj has no CEO, or we have no data on them.
Experienced Management: UPM's management team is seasoned and experienced (11.6 years average tenure).
Experienced Board: UPM's board of directors are considered experienced (4.3 years average tenure).
Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?
Insider Trading Volume
Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.
Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.
UPM-Kymmene Oyj's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources
- Name: UPM-Kymmene Oyj
- Ticker: UPM
- Exchange: HLSE
- Founded: 1871
- Industry: Paper Products
- Sector: Materials
- Implied Market Cap: €17.813b
- Shares outstanding: 533.32m
- Website: https://www.upm.com
Number of Employees
- UPM-Kymmene Oyj
- Alvar Aallon katu 1
- PO Box 380
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
|Data||Last Updated (UTC time)|
|Company Analysis||2022/08/11 00:00|
|End of Day Share Price||2022/08/11 00:00|
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.