UPM-Kymmene Oyj

HLSE:UPM Stock Report

Market Cap: €13.7b

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

UPM-Kymmene Oyj is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 22.6% and 3.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 22.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.7% in 3 years.

Key information

22.6%

Earnings growth rate

22.8%

EPS growth rate

Forestry earnings growth20.8%
Revenue growth rate3.8%
Future return on equity13.7%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Just Missed EPS By 15%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Nov 02
UPM-Kymmene Oyj Just Missed EPS By 15%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Apr 28
UPM-Kymmene Oyj Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Recent updates

UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

Nov 06
UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Just Missed EPS By 15%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Nov 02
UPM-Kymmene Oyj Just Missed EPS By 15%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of €0.75

Oct 17
UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of €0.75

Investors Could Be Concerned With UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Returns On Capital

Oct 10
Investors Could Be Concerned With UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Returns On Capital

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Sep 25
UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Dividend Will Be €0.75

Sep 25
UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Dividend Will Be €0.75

UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Dividend Will Be €0.75

Aug 24
UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Dividend Will Be €0.75

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of €0.75

Aug 05
UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of €0.75

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of €0.75

Jul 22
UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of €0.75

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Jul 12
UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Dividend Will Be €0.75

Jun 23
UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Dividend Will Be €0.75

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of €0.75

Jun 09
UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of €0.75

UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 30% Above Its Share Price

May 29
UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 30% Above Its Share Price

UPM-Kymmene Oyj Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Apr 28
UPM-Kymmene Oyj Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of €0.75

Apr 25
UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of €0.75

Is UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) A Risky Investment?

Mar 21
Is UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) A Risky Investment?

UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 34% Above Its Share Price

Feb 27
UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 34% Above Its Share Price

UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

Feb 09
UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) P/E

Jan 19
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By UPM-Kymmene Oyj's (HEL:UPM) P/E

Returns On Capital At UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Paint A Concerning Picture

Jan 01
Returns On Capital At UPM-Kymmene Oyj (HEL:UPM) Paint A Concerning Picture

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

HLSE:UPM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202611,1691,3901,6112,16612
12/31/202510,7681,1891,3071,89115
12/31/202410,3348098161,48914
9/30/202410,2386955981,237N/A
6/30/202410,3014328241,635N/A
3/31/202410,3134849751,890N/A
12/31/202310,4603881,1892,269N/A
9/30/202311,1607262,0813,390N/A
6/30/202311,9961,3641,1782,548N/A
3/31/202312,0001,569-2361,210N/A
12/31/202211,7201,526-969508N/A
9/30/202211,1621,363-2,196-662N/A
6/30/202210,2651,239-1,684-143N/A
3/31/202210,0871,195-5351,045N/A
12/31/20219,8141,286-2711,250N/A
9/30/20219,3291,138-1721,190N/A
6/30/20218,834731621,238N/A
3/31/20218,5275941221,085N/A
12/31/20208,5805601301,005N/A
9/30/20208,8396385551,250N/A
6/30/20209,3048047921,384N/A
3/31/20209,8329471,1601,664N/A
12/31/201910,2381,0611,4441,847N/A
9/30/201910,5221,3891,2611,639N/A
6/30/201910,6791,4671,1631,544N/A
3/31/201910,6641,4911,0681,436N/A
12/31/201810,4831,4959781,330N/A
9/30/201810,3231,1451,0051,354N/A
6/30/201810,1661,106N/A1,435N/A
3/31/201810,0401,041N/A1,376N/A
12/31/201710,010973N/A1,558N/A
9/30/20179,915917N/A1,556N/A
6/30/20179,867899N/A1,576N/A
3/31/20179,848892N/A1,741N/A
12/31/20169,812879N/A1,686N/A
9/30/20169,910885N/A1,671N/A
6/30/20169,9951,025N/A1,528N/A
3/31/201610,098988N/A1,418N/A
12/31/201510,138916N/A1,185N/A
9/30/201510,095731N/A1,257N/A
6/30/20159,980505N/A1,194N/A
3/31/20159,873474N/A1,085N/A
12/31/20149,868512N/A1,241N/A
9/30/20149,925540N/A1,041N/A
6/30/20149,982496N/A1,027N/A
3/31/201410,061481N/A896N/A
12/31/201310,054335N/A735N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UPM's forecast earnings growth (22.6% per year) is above the savings rate (1.3%).

Earnings vs Market: UPM's earnings (22.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Finnish market (14.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UPM's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: UPM's revenue (3.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Finnish market (2.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UPM's revenue (3.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UPM's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 07:14
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

UPM-Kymmene Oyj is covered by 36 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Martin MelbyeABG Sundal Collier
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue
Ramachandra KamathBarclays