Outokumpu Oyj Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Outokumpu Oyj is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 46% and 3.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 46.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 5.3% in 3 years.

Key information

46.0%

Earnings growth rate

46.2%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	27.0%
Revenue growth rate	3.9%
Future return on equity	5.3%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	14 Feb 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Shareholders May Be More Conservative With Outokumpu Oyj's (HEL:OUT1V) CEO Compensation For Now

Mar 29

Here's Why Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Mar 27

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V)

Mar 05

Is There An Opportunity With Outokumpu Oyj's (HEL:OUT1V) 43% Undervaluation?

Jan 24

These 4 Measures Indicate That Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Aug 23

Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Shares Could Be 36% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jul 28

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Presents An Opportunity

Jul 02

We Think Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

May 23

Are Investors Undervaluing Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) By 37%?

Apr 14

Is Now The Time To Put Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) On Your Watchlist?

Mar 20

Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Is Increasing Its Dividend To €0.35

Feb 12

Here's Why Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Jan 07

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V)

Dec 20

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Presents An Opportunity

Dec 02

An Intrinsic Calculation For Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Suggests It's 28% Undervalued

Sep 13

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Passed With Ease

Aug 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

HLSE:OUT1V - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	7,034	203	179	388	5
12/31/2026	6,852	185	163	378	10
12/31/2025	6,367	52	85	248	9
12/31/2024	5,942	-40	-79	147	N/A
9/30/2024	6,051	-250	65	270	N/A
6/30/2024	6,064	-325	141	340	N/A
3/31/2024	6,434	-231	94	289	N/A
12/31/2023	6,961	-111	179	325	N/A
9/30/2023	7,343	442	239	378	N/A
6/30/2023	8,151	704	480	626	N/A
3/31/2023	8,927	953	566	705	N/A
12/31/2022	9,494	1,086	623	778	N/A
9/30/2022	9,681	925	733	873	N/A
6/30/2022	9,187	896	681	815	N/A
3/31/2022	8,143	674	577	717	N/A
12/31/2021	7,243	526	441	597	N/A
9/30/2021	6,510	338	188	325	N/A
6/30/2021	5,919	97	175	315	N/A
3/31/2021	5,697	-56	226	381	N/A
12/31/2020	5,639	-116	156	322	N/A
9/30/2020	5,686	-93	164	353	N/A
6/30/2020	6,023	-57	-7	195	N/A
3/31/2020	6,303	-14	103	300	N/A
12/31/2019	6,403	-75	192	371	N/A
9/30/2019	6,592	-33	84	271	N/A
6/30/2019	6,734	23	121	320	N/A
3/31/2019	6,916	42	-1	214	N/A
12/31/2018	6,872	130	3	214	N/A
9/30/2018	6,750	231	N/A	276	N/A
6/30/2018	6,496	175	N/A	341	N/A
3/31/2018	6,271	259	N/A	420	N/A
12/31/2017	6,356	392	N/A	328	N/A
9/30/2017	6,399	456	N/A	422	N/A
6/30/2017	6,338	496	N/A	357	N/A
3/31/2017	6,060	367	N/A	262	N/A
12/31/2016	5,690	144	N/A	389	N/A
9/30/2016	5,618	262	N/A	192	N/A
6/30/2016	5,687	138	N/A	198	N/A
3/31/2016	6,002	98	N/A	102	N/A
12/31/2015	6,384	96	N/A	-34	N/A
9/30/2015	6,623	-270	N/A	86	N/A
6/30/2015	6,935	-233	N/A	42	N/A
3/31/2015	6,995	-222	N/A	-174	N/A
12/31/2014	6,844	-445	N/A	-138	N/A
9/30/2014	6,701	-647	N/A	-32	N/A
6/30/2014	6,512	-769	N/A	-13	N/A
3/31/2014	6,495	-949	N/A	73	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: OUT1V is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1.5%).

Earnings vs Market: OUT1V is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: OUT1V is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: OUT1V's revenue (3.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Finnish market (3.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: OUT1V's revenue (3.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: OUT1V's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/02/15 23:50
End of Day Share Price	2025/02/14 00:00
Earnings	2024/12/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Outokumpu Oyj is covered by 34 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Olof Grenmark	ABG Sundal Collier
Robert Jan Vos	ABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Philip Ngotho	ABN AMRO Bank N.V.

Outokumpu Oyj Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 8.1% to €3.52

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to €0.013 loss

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 51%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 51%

Outokumpu Oyj Provides Operating Guidance for the Fourth Quarter of 2023

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 42%

Recent updates

Dividend of €0.13 announced

Outokumpu Oyj Proposes Dividend for the Financial Year 2024, Payable on April 14, 2025 and October 22, 2025 Respectively

Outokumpu Oyj Appoints Matthieu Jehl as President, Business Line Stainless Europe

Outokumpu Oyj's (HEL:OUT1V) P/S Still Appears To Be Reasonable

Outokumpu Oyj Announces Pierre Vareille, A Current Member of the Board of Directors No Longer Available for Re-Election

Price target decreased by 8.1% to €3.52

Outokumpu Oyj, Annual General Meeting, Apr 03, 2025

Outokumpu Oyj Announces Leaving of Niklas Wass, President, Business Line Stainless Europe and Member of Outokumpu Leadership Team

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Revenues Working Against Outokumpu Oyj's (HEL:OUT1V) Share Price

Outokumpu Appoints Kati Ter Horst as Chief Executive Officer, Effective from October 9, 2024

Here's Why Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Outokumpu Oyj Announces Resignation of Heikki Malinen as President

Outokumpu Corporation Appoints Marc-Simon Schaar as CFO, effective June 1, 2024

Outokumpu Oyj Announces Resignation of Pia Aaltonen-Forsell as Chief Financial Officer

Outokumpu Oyj Announces Resignation of Pia Aaltonen-Forsell as Chief Financial Officer

Outokumpu Oyj Announces Board Appointments

Outokumpu Oyj Approves Dividend for the Financial Year Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on April 15, 2024

Shareholders May Be More Conservative With Outokumpu Oyj's (HEL:OUT1V) CEO Compensation For Now

Upcoming dividend of €0.26 per share

Here's Why Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V)

Now 21% undervalued

Now 20% undervalued

Dividend of €0.26 announced

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Outokumpu Oyj Proposes Dividend for the Financial Year Ended December 31, 2023, Payable on April 15, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to €0.013 loss

Outokumpu Oyj (HLSE:OUT1V) acquired 10% stake in Cronimet North-East GMBH from CRONIMET Holding GmbH.

Is There An Opportunity With Outokumpu Oyj's (HEL:OUT1V) 43% Undervaluation?

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 51%

Outokumpu Oyj to Report Nine Months, 2024 Results on Oct 30, 2024

Outokumpu Oyj (HLSE:OUT1V) commences an Equity Buyback Plan for 45,000,000 shares, representing 9.85% of its issued share capital, under the authorization approved on March 30, 2023.

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 51%

Outokumpu Oyj (HLSE:OUT1V) signed an agreement to acquire 20% stake in Envigas AB.

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Outokumpu Oyj Provides Operating Guidance for the Fourth Quarter of 2023

Outokumpu Oyj (HLSE:OUT1V) signed an agreement to acquire 10% stake in Cronimet North-East GMBH from CRONIMET Holding GmbH.

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 42%

Price target decreased by 7.1% to €5.11

Price target decreased by 7.1% to €5.46

These 4 Measures Indicate That Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18%

Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Shares Could Be 36% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Presents An Opportunity

Outokumpu Oyj Appoints Marc-Simon Schaar as Chief Procurement Officer and Member of Outokumpu Leadership Team

Outokumpu Oyj Appoints Marc-Simon Schaar as Chief Procurement Officer

Outokumpu Oyj (HLSE:OUT1V) agreed to acquire 9.9% stake in FPX Nickel Corp. (TSXV:FPX) for €11 million.

We Think Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 34%

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Are Investors Undervaluing Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) By 37%?

Upcoming dividend of €0.35 per share at 4.9% yield

Is Now The Time To Put Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) On Your Watchlist?

Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Is Increasing Its Dividend To €0.35

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: €2.40 (vs €1.26 in FY 2021)

Outokumpu Proposes Special Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2022, Payable on April 12, 2023

Here's Why Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V)

Outokumpu Oyj to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 03, 2023

Outokumpu Oyj Announces Board Changes

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) Presents An Opportunity

Outokumpu Oyj (HLSE:OUT1V) commences an Equity Buyback Plan for 45,000,000 shares, representing 9.85% of its issued share capital, under the authorization approved on March 31, 2022.

Consensus forecasts updated