Outokumpu Oyj Valuation

Is OUT1V undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OUT1V when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OUT1V (€2.93) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OUT1V is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OUT1V?

Key metric: As OUT1V is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for OUT1V. This is calculated by dividing OUT1V's market cap by their current revenue.
What is OUT1V's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
Sales€6.05b
Market Cap€1.42b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does OUT1V's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for OUT1V vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
AFAGR Afarak Group
0.5xn/a€64.5m
METSB Metsä Board Oyj
0.8x7.6%€1.6b
KEMIRA Kemira Oyj
1x1.4%€3.0b
HUH1V Huhtamäki Oyj
0.9x4.3%€3.7b
OUT1V Outokumpu Oyj
0.2x5.6%€1.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: OUT1V is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does OUT1V's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

35 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OUT1V 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.7xNo. of Companies35PS00.81.62.43.24+
35 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: OUT1V is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OUT1V's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OUT1V PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: OUT1V is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OUT1V forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.93
€3.81
+29.8%
11.1%€4.50€3.10n/a11
Dec ’25€3.18
€3.85
+21.0%
11.1%€4.50€3.10n/a11
Nov ’25€3.24
€3.95
+21.8%
10.4%€4.50€3.20n/a11
Oct ’25€3.63
€4.03
+11.0%
11.5%€4.70€3.50n/a10
Sep ’25€3.37
€4.03
+19.8%
11.5%€4.70€3.50n/a10
Aug ’25€3.28
€4.21
+28.2%
11.7%€4.80€3.60n/a10
Jul ’25€3.39
€4.29
+26.7%
11.6%€5.10€3.40n/a10
Jun ’25€3.81
€4.44
+16.4%
16.4%€6.00€3.40n/a10
May ’25€3.81
€4.68
+23.0%
15.0%€6.00€3.50n/a10
Apr ’25€4.03
€4.78
+18.6%
12.6%€6.00€4.00n/a10
Mar ’25€4.09
€4.69
+14.6%
14.7%€6.00€3.60n/a11
Feb ’25€4.01
€4.65
+15.9%
16.2%€6.00€3.60n/a11
Jan ’25€4.48
€4.65
+3.6%
17.8%€6.00€3.60n/a11
Dec ’24€4.28
€4.61
+7.6%
20.7%€6.50€3.40€3.1812
Nov ’24€3.79
€4.99
+31.7%
20.6%€7.50€3.60€3.2412
Oct ’24€3.97
€5.50
+38.6%
15.6%€7.50€4.30€3.6312
Sep ’24€4.38
€6.02
+37.4%
17.6%€7.50€4.40€3.3712
Aug ’24€4.65
€6.28
+35.0%
18.7%€8.00€4.40€3.2812
Jul ’24€4.90
€6.47
+31.9%
15.9%€8.00€4.50€3.3912
Jun ’24€5.08
€6.50
+28.0%
16.3%€8.00€4.50€3.8112
May ’24€4.94
€6.02
+21.7%
18.8%€7.50€4.00€3.8112
Apr ’24€5.02
€5.97
+18.8%
19.3%€7.50€4.00€4.0312
Mar ’24€5.68
€5.81
+2.2%
18.6%€7.50€4.00€4.0912
Feb ’24€5.24
€5.55
+6.0%
21.2%€7.50€4.00€4.0112
Jan ’24€4.73
€5.35
+13.0%
20.0%€7.50€3.90€4.4813
Dec ’23€4.78
€5.32
+11.3%
20.5%€7.50€3.90€4.2813

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies