Stock Analysis

Revenues Working Against Outokumpu Oyj's (HEL:OUT1V) Share Price

HLSE:OUT1V
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x Outokumpu Oyj (HEL:OUT1V) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Metals and Mining companies in Finland have P/S ratios greater than 0.8x and even P/S higher than 3x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Outokumpu Oyj

ps-multiple-vs-industry
HLSE:OUT1V Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 20th 2024

What Does Outokumpu Oyj's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Outokumpu Oyj has been very sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to improve at all. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the revenue slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Outokumpu Oyj will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Outokumpu Oyj would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 28% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 13% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.9% per year as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 227% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Outokumpu Oyj is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Outokumpu Oyj's P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Outokumpu Oyj maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Outokumpu Oyj you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Outokumpu Oyj is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Outokumpu Oyj is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com