Stock Analysis
Metsä Board Oyj's (HEL:METSB) market cap surged €71m last week, private companies who have a lot riding on the company were rewarded
Key Insights
- Significant control over Metsä Board Oyj by private companies implies that the general public has more power to influence management and governance-related decisions
- Metsäliitto Cooperative owns 52% of the company
- Institutions own 20% of Metsä Board Oyj
To get a sense of who is truly in control of Metsä Board Oyj (HEL:METSB), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 52% to be precise, is private companies. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).
Clearly, private companies benefitted the most after the company's market cap rose by €71m last week.
Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Metsä Board Oyj.
View our latest analysis for Metsä Board Oyj
What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Metsä Board Oyj?
Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.
Metsä Board Oyj already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Metsä Board Oyj, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.
Hedge funds don't have many shares in Metsä Board Oyj. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Metsäliitto Cooperative with 52% of shares outstanding. This implies that they have majority interest control of the future of the company. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 4.9% and 2.8%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.
Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.
Insider Ownership Of Metsä Board Oyj
The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.
Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.
Shareholders would probably be interested to learn that insiders own shares in Metsä Board Oyj. It is a pretty big company, so it is generally a positive to see some potentially meaningful alignment. In this case, they own around €62m worth of shares (at current prices). It is good to see this level of investment by insiders. You can check here to see if those insiders have been buying recently.
General Public Ownership
The general public-- including retail investors -- own 25% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.
Private Company Ownership
It seems that Private Companies own 52%, of the Metsä Board Oyj stock. It's hard to draw any conclusions from this fact alone, so its worth looking into who owns those private companies. Sometimes insiders or other related parties have an interest in shares in a public company through a separate private company.
Next Steps:
I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Metsä Board Oyj (1 is potentially serious) that you should be aware of.
If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.
NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About HLSE:METSB
Metsä Board Oyj
Engages in the folding boxboard, fresh fibre linerboard, and market pulp businesses worldwide.