Stock Analysis

Fodelia Oyj's (HEL:FODELIA) Shares Leap 28% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

HLSE:FODELIA
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Fodelia Oyj (HEL:FODELIA) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 25% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Fodelia Oyj's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Food industry in Finland, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Fodelia Oyj

ps-multiple-vs-industry
HLSE:FODELIA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 29th 2023

How Fodelia Oyj Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Fodelia Oyj as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Fodelia Oyj.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Fodelia Oyj would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 25% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 112% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 11% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 2.4%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Fodelia Oyj's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Fodelia Oyj's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Fodelia Oyj's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Fodelia Oyj's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Fodelia Oyj you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.