Stock Analysis

Saga Furs Oyj's (HEL:SAGCV) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 27%

HLSE:SAGCV
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Saga Furs Oyj (HEL:SAGCV) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 9.0% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Saga Furs Oyj may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.8x, since almost half of all companies in Finland have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 31x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Saga Furs Oyj as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Saga Furs Oyj

pe-multiple-vs-industry
HLSE:SAGCV Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 21st 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Saga Furs Oyj's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Saga Furs Oyj's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Saga Furs Oyj's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 52%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Saga Furs Oyj's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Bottom Line On Saga Furs Oyj's P/E

Saga Furs Oyj's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Saga Furs Oyj revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Saga Furs Oyj you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Saga Furs Oyj is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.