Stock Analysis

Should You Think About Buying Cargotec Corporation (HEL:CGCBV) Now?

HLSE:CGCBV
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Cargotec Corporation (HEL:CGCBV), is not the largest company out there, but it led the HLSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Cargotec’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Cargotec

What Is Cargotec Worth?

Good news, investors! Cargotec is still a bargain right now. My valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is €45.26, but it is currently trading at €32.72 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. However, given that Cargotec’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Cargotec?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
HLSE:CGCBV Earnings and Revenue Growth October 17th 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Cargotec, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -5.9%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Although CGCBV is currently undervalued, the negative outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to CGCBV, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on CGCBV for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Cargotec at this point in time. While conducting our analysis, we found that Cargotec has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.